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King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3

790 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score35.8%Range (90% confident): 33.0% – 38.6%Based on 790 games
0%35.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 33.0% – 38.6%
Outcome Distribution
33.3%4.9%61.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Bd3
King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3
Analyzen=790
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.9%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 35.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 33.0% and 38.6%), based on 790 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -25.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.7% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 31% → 27%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 30.5% win rate (243 games)
  • 1000-1199: 28.5% win rate (172 games)
  • 1200-1399: 39.4% win rate (124 games)
  • 1400-1599: 31.3% win rate (112 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.8% win rate (68 games)
  • 1800-1999: 34.6% win rate (52 games)
  • 2000-2199: 33.3% win rate (15 games)
  • 2200-2499: 27.3% win rate (4 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (38%), worst in UltraBullet (23%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 23.1% win rate (5 games)
  • Bullet: 38.4% win rate (177 games)
  • Blitz: 33.6% win rate (384 games)
  • Rapid: 28.7% win rate (213 games)
  • Classical: 36.0% win rate (11 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499———
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (48 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.6% expected score (117 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 35.4% expected score (77 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 26.7% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.3% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 25.3% expected score (43 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 44.3% expected score (51 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 27.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (23 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 28.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 36.3% expected score (24 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 33.3% (90% CI: 30.6%-36.1%) win rate for white, based on 790 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 46.8% win rate for white (68 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (38.4%) outperforms Rapid (28.7%) by 9.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a sharpness score of 95.1 (very decisive), meaning 95.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 30.5% (90% CI: 25.7%-35.4%) win rate for white, based on 243 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 28.5% (90% CI: 23.0%-34.3%) win rate for white, based on 172 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 39.4% (90% CI: 32.4%-46.7%) win rate for white, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 31.3% (90% CI: 24.3%-38.6%) win rate for white, based on 112 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 38.4% (90% CI: 32.5%-44.4%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 33.6% (90% CI: 29.7%-37.6%) win rate for white (384 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 has a 28.7% (90% CI: 23.7%-33.9%) win rate for white (213 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Schurig Gambit, with Bd3 is slightly favors black with a 33.3% (90% CI: 30.6%-36.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.