45K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 43.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 42.8% and 43.6%), based on 45K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 51% → 41%
Best in UltraBullet (53%), worst in Classical (33%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 42.0% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.4%) win rate for white, based on 45K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 50.7% win rate for white (629 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (44.3%) outperforms Classical (32.6%) by 11.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 50.7% (90% CI: 47.4%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 629 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 47.5% (90% CI: 45.5%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 44.2%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 42.1%-43.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 40.7% (90% CI: 40.0%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 40.5% (90% CI: 39.7%-41.2%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 41.4% (90% CI: 40.1%-42.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 40.4%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 973 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 44.3% (90% CI: 43.6%-45.0%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 41.7% (90% CI: 41.2%-42.2%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 37.3% (90% CI: 36.2%-38.5%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit has a 32.6% (90% CI: 26.1%-39.4%) win rate for white (132 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Sörensen Gambit is slightly favors black with a 42.0% (90% CI: 41.6%-42.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.