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King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit

18K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.2%Range (90% confident): 38.6% – 39.8%Based on 18K games
0%39.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.6% – 39.8%
Outcome Distribution
37.7%3.0%59.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.g3
King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit
Analyzen=18K
Avg Length28 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 39.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.6% and 39.8%), based on 18K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -19.8% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 97.7 · Trap factor: -9.7 · n=18K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.9% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 32% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 32.3% win rate (235 games)
  • 1000-1199: 31.4% win rate (792 games)
  • 1200-1399: 34.9% win rate (1,842 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.0% win rate (3,643 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.7% win rate (5,151 games)
  • 1800-1999: 39.5% win rate (4,468 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.2% win rate (1,643 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.0% win rate (323 games)
  • 2500+: 39.7% win rate (35 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (30%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.7% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 40.1% win rate (5,331 games)
  • Blitz: 38.0% win rate (9,930 games)
  • Rapid: 32.0% win rate (2,759 games)
  • Classical: 30.2% win rate (106 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199——
1200-1399
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 37.0% expected score (102 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 31.3% expected score (103 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 27.1% expected score (29 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 36.9% expected score (327 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 31.6% expected score (363 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (102 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 39.6% expected score (638 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 37.4% expected score (938 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 23.0% expected score (254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 28.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (1,023 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.2% expected score (2,010 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 33.3% expected score (569 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 31.2% expected score (41 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 41.0% expected score (1,192 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 40.1% expected score (3,046 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 34.4% expected score (873 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 34.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.1% expected score (1,128 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (2,613 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 35.3% expected score (714 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.2% expected score (672 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (777 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (191 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (225 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (76 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.9% expected score (24 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 37.7% (90% CI: 37.1%-38.3%) win rate for white, based on 18K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 43.0% win rate for white (323 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (40.1%) outperforms Classical (30.2%) by 9.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 32.3% (90% CI: 27.4%-37.4%) win rate for white, based on 235 Lichess games. Average game length is 20 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 31.4% (90% CI: 28.8%-34.2%) win rate for white, based on 792 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 34.9% (90% CI: 33.1%-36.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 37.0% (90% CI: 35.7%-38.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 37.7% (90% CI: 36.6%-38.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 39.5% (90% CI: 38.3%-40.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 40.2% (90% CI: 38.2%-42.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 38.5%-47.5%) win rate for white, based on 323 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.0%-41.2%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 38.0% (90% CI: 37.2%-38.8%) win rate for white (9.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 32.0% (90% CI: 30.6%-33.5%) win rate for white (2.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit has a 30.2% (90% CI: 23.2%-37.7%) win rate for white (106 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.9%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Rosentreter Gambit, Bird Gambit is slightly favors black with a 37.7% (90% CI: 37.1%-38.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.