What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit expected score for White?
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 55.5%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
1.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 53.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 55.5%), based on 1.9K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 40% → 33%
Best in Classical (62%), worst in Bullet (47%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | — | |||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 55.3% win rate for white (430 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Rapid (57.8%) outperforms Bullet (47.1%) by 10.7%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 46.8%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 177 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 49.7% (90% CI: 44.2%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 225 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 54.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 342 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 51.3%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 430 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 42.7%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 370 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 47.1% (90% CI: 43.3%-50.9%) win rate for white (471 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 52.2% (90% CI: 49.8%-54.7%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit has a 57.8% (90% CI: 52.9%-62.7%) win rate for white (276 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Quade Gambit is statistically balanced with a 51.9% (90% CI: 50.0%-53.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.