TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation

307 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Play This
White Expected Score62.2%Range (90% confident): 57.6% – 66.7%Based on 307 games
0%62.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.6% – 66.7%
Outcome Distribution
60.1%4.1%35.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
7.Qd3
King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation
Analyzen=307
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation has a 62.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.6% and 66.7%), based on 307 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +16.8% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 39%

1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1400-1599: 52.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.9% win rate (24 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.9% win rate (65 games)
  • 2000-2199: 64.4% win rate (108 games)
  • 2200-2499: 61.3% win rate (94 games)
  • 2500+: 38.5% win rate (5 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (64%), worst in Classical (53%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 64.1% win rate (96 games)
  • Blitz: 58.8% win rate (171 games)
  • Rapid: 53.6% win rate (33 games)
  • Classical: 52.9% win rate (7 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199—————
1200-1399—————
1400-1599———
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 60.1% expected score (43 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 69.5% expected score (55 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (40 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 66.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 64.9% expected score (59 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation has a 60.1% (90% CI: 55.5%-64.7%) win rate for white, based on 307 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 64.4% win rate for white (108 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (64.1%) outperforms Blitz (58.8%) by 5.3%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation has a 64.4% (90% CI: 56.7%-71.7%) win rate for white, based on 108 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation has a 58.8% (90% CI: 52.6%-64.9%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation is statistically favors white with a 60.1% (90% CI: 55.5%-64.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.