Source Lichess
White wins at least 15.1 more of every 100 games than it loses
how far wins run ahead of losses, 90% confident
At All Ratings, King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation keeps White's wins running +15.1% ahead of its losses at worst, 90% confident, from 307 Lichess games. This gambit is effective. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
| Rating | Edge at worst | White Win | Draw | White Loss | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800-1999 | −5.0% | 54.9% | 5.3% | 39.8% | 65 |
| 2000-2199 | +16.8% | 64.4% | 3.2% | 32.4% | 108 |
| 2200-2499 | +9.8% | 61.3% | 3.7% | 35.1% | 94 |
At some ratings. White comes out ahead at 2000-2499; at the other ratings we can see, the games do not show it paying.
White wins 60.1% of King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation games, draws 4.1% and loses 35.8%. That rests on 307 games from Lichess.
2000-2199. There White wins at least 16.8 more of every 100 games than it loses (90% confident), its highest Edge at worst.
No. In Bullet, White comes out ahead at 2000-2199, the only rating with enough games. In Blitz, White comes out ahead at 2200-2499, the only rating with enough games. Across all clocks together, it falls short at 1800-1999.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Philidor Gambit, Schultz Variation is extremely sharp: 4.1% of its games are drawn, so 95.9% end with a winner.
At 2000-2499, where White comes out ahead. At the other ratings we can see, the games do not show it paying.
As Black, take the material, then develop fast, castle early, and trade pieces. Give the material back when doing so kills the attack. At 2000-2499, White still comes out ahead in these games; at the other ratings we can see, the games do not show the gambit paying.
This rests on 307 games from Lichess. Every figure carries the range it is in, 90% confident, and the table above shows how many games sit behind each rating and each clock — the fewer there are, the wider that range.