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King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit

1.9M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.7%Range (90% confident): 56.7% – 56.8%Based on 1.9M games
0%56.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.7% – 56.8%
Outcome Distribution
55.3%2.7%41.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.h4
King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit
Analyzen=1.9M
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 56.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.7% and 56.8%), based on 1.9M Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +16.9% · Breakpoint: 2500+

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.1% · UltraBullet best · Blitz worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 56% → 43%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.2% win rate (71,949 games)
  • 1000-1199: 57.5% win rate (165,813 games)
  • 1200-1399: 57.4% win rate (306,481 games)
  • 1400-1599: 56.5% win rate (468,811 games)
  • 1600-1799: 54.5% win rate (514,682 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.6% win rate (329,417 games)
  • 2000-2199: 52.3% win rate (74,070 games)
  • 2200-2499: 52.5% win rate (8,135 games)
  • 2500+: 42.5% win rate (322 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (63%), worst in Blitz (55%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 63.1% win rate (685 games)
  • Bullet: 55.8% win rate (321,802 games)
  • Blitz: 55.0% win rate (1,187,029 games)
  • Rapid: 55.8% win rate (416,817 games)
  • Classical: 58.6% win rate (13,347 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 61.7% expected score (97 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.2% expected score (20,932 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (37,436 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.4% expected score (13,398 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 72.2% expected score (84 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 59.0% expected score (40,785 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 58.5% expected score (95,369 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.7% expected score (29,193 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 66.5% expected score (153 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 58.4% expected score (60,209 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (187,833 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (56,662 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.8% expected score (1,624 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 75.5% expected score (128 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (69,813 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (295,390 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (99,208 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 60.2% expected score (4,272 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (183 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 55.3% expected score (66,492 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (321,499 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.0% expected score (121,451 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 60.5% expected score (5,057 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 53.5% expected score (42,947 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (203,925 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.7% expected score (80,744 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 60.8% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.4% expected score (16,647 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (41,988 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.2% expected score (15,281 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 57.3% expected score (150 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.7% expected score (3,755 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.5% expected score (3,503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.0% expected score (868 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.9% expected score (222 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.0% expected score (86 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 68.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
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Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.9M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 57.5% win rate for white (166K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (63.1%) outperforms Blitz (55.0%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 56.2% (90% CI: 55.9%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 72K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 57.5% (90% CI: 57.3%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 166K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.2%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 306K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 56.5% (90% CI: 56.4%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 469K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.4%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 515K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.4%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 329K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 74K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.6%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 8.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 42.5% (90% CI: 38.0%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 322 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 7.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 63.1% (90% CI: 60.1%-66.2%) win rate for white (685 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.6%-55.9%) win rate for white (322K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.1%) win rate for white (1.2M Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.0%) win rate for white (417K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit has a 58.6% (90% CI: 57.9%-59.3%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: King's Knight's Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.3%-55.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.