16K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 55.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.9% and 56.2%), based on 16K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 57% → 48%
Similar across time controls (~55%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.9%) win rate for white, based on 16K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 57.6% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (54.2%) outperforms Classical (52.1%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 28 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 56.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-61.7%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 57.3% (90% CI: 54.4%-60.3%) win rate for white, based on 744 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 57.6% (90% CI: 55.4%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.6% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.3%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.2%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 53.0%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 55.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 199 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 53.0%-56.0%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.4%-55.1%) win rate for white (9.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 54.4% (90% CI: 52.9%-55.9%) win rate for white (3.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit has a 52.1% (90% CI: 44.9%-59.2%) win rate for white (130 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit is statistically favors white with a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.