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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation

1.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score45.5%Range (90% confident): 43.1% – 47.9%Based on 1.1K games
0%45.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 43.1% – 47.9%
Outcome Distribution
43.5%4.0%52.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6.d4
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation
Analyzen=1.1K
Avg Length30 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.0%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 45.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.1% and 47.9%), based on 1.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -11.4% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 16.0% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 64% → 20%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 63.6% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 44.2% win rate (20 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.2% win rate (46 games)
  • 1400-1599: 33.3% win rate (84 games)
  • 1600-1799: 38.1% win rate (168 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.8% win rate (279 games)
  • 2000-2199: 46.7% win rate (329 games)
  • 2200-2499: 45.4% win rate (189 games)
  • 2500+: 20.0% win rate (21 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Rapid (36%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 51.6% win rate (236 games)
  • Blitz: 43.0% win rate (697 games)
  • Rapid: 35.6% win rate (202 games)
  • Classical: 38.5% win rate (5 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 31.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 39.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 41.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 33.1% expected score (31 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.7% expected score (41 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (186 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 31.6% expected score (50 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (68 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (204 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (117 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (27 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.0% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 13.7% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 43.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 46.7% win rate for white (329 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Rapid (35.6%) by 16.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 38.1% (90% CI: 32.0%-44.3%) win rate for white, based on 168 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 45.8% (90% CI: 40.9%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 279 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 46.7% (90% CI: 42.3%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 329 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 39.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 189 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 46.2%-56.9%) win rate for white (236 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 43.0% (90% CI: 40.0%-46.1%) win rate for white (697 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation has a 35.6% (90% CI: 30.2%-41.2%) win rate for white (202 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, Rubinstein Variation is slightly favors black with a 43.5% (90% CI: 41.1%-45.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.