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King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation

768 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score41.8%Range (90% confident): 38.9% – 44.8%Based on 768 games
0%41.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 38.9% – 44.8%
Outcome Distribution
40.1%3.4%56.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...d5
King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation
Analyzen=768
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.4%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 41.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 38.9% and 44.8%), based on 768 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -16.6% · Breakpoint: 1600-1799

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 93.4 · Trap factor: -23.4 · n=768

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 10.0% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 53% → 62%

1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 1000-1199: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • 1200-1399: 16.1% win rate (14 games)
  • 1400-1599: 28.7% win rate (42 games)
  • 1600-1799: 37.8% win rate (124 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.5% win rate (238 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.2% win rate (232 games)
  • 2200-2499: 32.4% win rate (102 games)
  • 2500+: 61.9% win rate (9 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Classical (20%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 42.1% win rate (147 games)
  • Blitz: 41.2% win rate (517 games)
  • Rapid: 32.1% win rate (103 games)
  • Classical: 20.0% win rate (1 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—————
1000-1199——
1200-1399——
1400-1599——
1600-1799——
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 41.3% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 29.3% expected score (25 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 39.3% expected score (78 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.4% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (178 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.5% expected score (17 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 51.0% expected score (151 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 24.7% expected score (34 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 29.5% expected score (18 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 38.7% expected score (69 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 40.1% (90% CI: 37.2%-43.0%) win rate for white, based on 768 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 45.2% win rate for white (232 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Blitz (41.2%) outperforms Rapid (32.1%) by 9.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a sharpness score of 96.6 (very decisive), meaning 96.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 37.8% (90% CI: 30.9%-45.1%) win rate for white, based on 124 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 41.5% (90% CI: 36.4%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 238 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 45.2% (90% CI: 39.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 232 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 32.4% (90% CI: 25.0%-40.1%) win rate for white, based on 102 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 42.1% (90% CI: 35.5%-48.8%) win rate for white (147 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 41.2% (90% CI: 37.6%-44.7%) win rate for white (517 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation has a 32.1% (90% CI: 24.8%-39.7%) win rate for white (103 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Kieseritzky Gambit, Berlin Defense, de Riviere Variation is slightly favors black with a 40.1% (90% CI: 37.2%-43.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.