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Analyzer

King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit

19K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score37.0%Range (90% confident): 36.4% – 37.6%Based on 19K games
0%37.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 36.4% – 37.6%
Outcome Distribution
34.8%4.5%60.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.g3
King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit
Analyzen=19K
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.5%

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 37.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 36.4% and 37.6%), based on 19K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -13.0% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 94.3 · Trap factor: -11.2 · n=19K

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 23.6% · Bullet best · Classical worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 32% → 20%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 31.6% win rate (7,157 games)
  • 1000-1199: 36.5% win rate (3,791 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.5% win rate (3,171 games)
  • 1400-1599: 30.1% win rate (2,209 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.6% win rate (1,069 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.1% win rate (936 games)
  • 2000-2199: 37.0% win rate (340 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.8% win rate (85 games)
  • 2500+: 20.0% win rate (6 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (50%), worst in Classical (15%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.3% win rate (81 games)
  • Bullet: 38.7% win rate (4,440 games)
  • Blitz: 36.7% win rate (8,993 games)
  • Rapid: 28.6% win rate (4,950 games)
  • Classical: 15.1% win rate (300 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 39.0% expected score (1,808 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 35.0% expected score (3,070 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 30.4% expected score (2,218 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (928 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 39.5% expected score (1,765 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 35.3% expected score (1,032 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 34.5% expected score (50 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.5% expected score (25 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (642 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 42.7% expected score (1,650 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.8% expected score (792 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 19.3% expected score (62 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 38.6% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 34.7% expected score (488 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 34.9% expected score (982 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.6% expected score (595 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 10.2% expected score (128 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (201 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (660 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 38.6% expected score (191 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 36.2% expected score (13 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 36.5% expected score (117 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (716 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 33.5% expected score (98 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 37.8% expected score (187 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (132 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (65 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (16 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
King's Gambit Accepted
43.1%
Variations (5)
King's Gambit Accepted: Abbazia Defense
46.9%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit
55.5%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Thorold Attack
59.1%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit, Urusov Attack
55.2%
King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier, Blackburne Gambit
57.5%
Analyze King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 34.8% (90% CI: 34.2%-35.3%) win rate for white, based on 19K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit perform best?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 44.6% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (50.3%) outperforms Classical (15.1%) by 35.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.5 (very decisive), meaning 95.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 31.6% (90% CI: 30.7%-32.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 36.5% (90% CI: 35.2%-37.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 37.5% (90% CI: 36.1%-38.9%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 30.1% (90% CI: 28.5%-31.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 44.6% (90% CI: 42.1%-47.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 40.1% (90% CI: 37.4%-42.7%) win rate for white, based on 936 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 37.0% (90% CI: 32.8%-41.4%) win rate for white, based on 340 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 38.7% (90% CI: 37.5%-39.9%) win rate for white (4.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 36.7% (90% CI: 35.9%-37.5%) win rate for white (9.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 28.6% (90% CI: 27.6%-29.7%) win rate for white (5.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

What is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit has a 15.1% (90% CI: 11.8%-18.6%) win rate for white (300 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit a good opening?

The King's Gambit Accepted: Gaga Gambit is slightly favors black with a 34.8% (90% CI: 34.2%-35.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.