2.0K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 57.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.5% and 59.1%), based on 2.0K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 52% → 58%
Best in Bullet (60%), worst in Classical (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | — | |||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-57.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 61.8% win rate for white (409 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (59.9%) outperforms Rapid (52.1%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 57.9% (90% CI: 51.2%-64.4%) win rate for white, based on 148 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 49.6%-60.0%) win rate for white, based on 242 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 61.8% (90% CI: 57.8%-65.7%) win rate for white, based on 409 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 52.6% (90% CI: 48.7%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 429 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 48.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 383 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 57.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-62.5%) win rate for white, based on 245 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 56.0% (90% CI: 48.5%-63.4%) win rate for white, based on 119 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 59.9% (90% CI: 55.8%-64.0%) win rate for white (383 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 55.9% (90% CI: 53.6%-58.2%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation has a 52.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-56.3%) win rate for white (376 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Bishop's Gambit, Bogoljubov Variation is statistically favors white with a 56.0% (90% CI: 54.2%-57.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.