44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 56.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.3% and 57.0%), based on 44K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 54% → 63%
Best in Blitz (56%), worst in Classical (52%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.8%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 56.8% win rate for white (7.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (55.8%) outperforms Classical (51.6%) by 4.2%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.6 (very decisive), meaning 97.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 54.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 339 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 53.7% (90% CI: 51.1%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 988 Lichess games. Average game length is 22 moves with a 1.7% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 54.3% (90% CI: 53.2%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 5.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.4%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.2%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.9%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 58.0% (90% CI: 55.8%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.0%-55.7%) win rate for white (9.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 55.8% (90% CI: 55.3%-56.3%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 54.7% (90% CI: 53.7%-55.8%) win rate for white (6.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Classical games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 45.4%-57.7%) win rate for white (174 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Allgaier Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.5% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.