TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation

178K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%Based on 178K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.6% – 52.0%
Outcome Distribution
49.3%5.0%45.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation
n=178K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.6% and 52.0%), based on 178K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~49%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (1,256 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.3% win rate (3,820 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.2% win rate (9,289 games)
  • 1400-1599: 50.1% win rate (18,215 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.7% win rate (29,377 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.9% win rate (40,204 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.7% win rate (40,150 games)
  • 2200-2499: 49.2% win rate (29,738 games)
  • 2500+: 51.1% win rate (6,228 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.0% win rate (526 games)
  • Bullet: 49.3% win rate (52,568 games)
  • Blitz: 49.2% win rate (97,013 games)
  • Rapid: 49.5% win rate (26,864 games)
  • Classical: 50.5% win rate (1,306 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.0% expected score (384 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (692 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.4% expected score (174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.4% expected score (1,215 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (1,939 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (656 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (2,915 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (4,756 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,544 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 39.8% expected score (91 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.5% expected score (5,019 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (9,688 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.4% expected score (3,264 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (153 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.9% expected score (206 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.2% expected score (7,217 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (16,359 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (5,246 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.5% expected score (349 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (133 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (8,710 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (23,268 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.1% expected score (7,637 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 51.1% expected score (456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (44 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.1% expected score (10,761 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (23,289 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (5,797 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 56.2% expected score (259 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.6% expected score (12,317 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (14,924 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.4% expected score (2,448 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.3% expected score (40 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (4,030 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (2,098 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 62.1% expected score (98 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Indian Defense
49.6%
Variations (5)
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Adorjan Gambit
47.8%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Advance Variation
46.1%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation
48.6%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Alekhine Variation, Leko Gambit
48.0%
Indian Defense: Anti-Grünfeld, Basman-Williams Attack
48.4%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate?

The Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 178K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation perform best?

The Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 51.1% win rate for white (6.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (49.5%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.0%) by 0.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation?

The Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.3%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 29K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.5%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.1%) win rate for white, based on 40K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.7%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 30K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 7.5% draw rate.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-52.6%) win rate for white (526 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.6%) win rate for white (53K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.5%) win rate for white (97K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.0%) win rate for white (27K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.

What is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-52.8%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.

Is the Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation a good opening?

The Indian Defense: King's Indian Variation, Fianchetto Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.3% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.