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Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit

57K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score39.5%Range (90% confident): 39.1% – 39.8%Based on 57K games
0%39.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 39.1% – 39.8%
Outcome Distribution
37.7%3.5%58.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
2...Qh4
Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit
Analyzen=57K
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.5%

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 39.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 39.1% and 39.8%), based on 57K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -14.6% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 23.7% · Classical best · UltraBullet worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 37% → 29%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 37.3% win rate (22,400 games)
  • 1000-1199: 36.7% win rate (11,399 games)
  • 1200-1399: 37.3% win rate (8,202 games)
  • 1400-1599: 37.4% win rate (6,197 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.1% win rate (5,130 games)
  • 1800-1999: 38.3% win rate (2,652 games)
  • 2000-2199: 37.3% win rate (956 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.3% win rate (337 games)
  • 2500+: 29.4% win rate (24 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (51%), worst in Classical (25%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.2% win rate (146 games)
  • Bullet: 42.3% win rate (18,082 games)
  • Blitz: 37.3% win rate (24,490 games)
  • Rapid: 32.7% win rate (14,102 games)
  • Classical: 24.8% win rate (477 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (4,282 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (9,849 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.1% expected score (8,176 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (63 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 47.9% expected score (46 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 43.0% expected score (3,423 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 37.6% expected score (4,962 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 33.8% expected score (2,825 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 32.0% expected score (143 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.1% expected score (32 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (2,378 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 39.8% expected score (4,064 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 30.4% expected score (1,605 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (123 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 43.6% expected score (2,414 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 38.2% expected score (2,647 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (1,002 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 21.7% expected score (108 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (2,576 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (2,152 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 32.7% expected score (366 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 9.4% expected score (28 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 40.9% expected score (1,878 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (670 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 29.6% expected score (94 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 40.5% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (821 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 27.3% expected score (104 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 26.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 41.1% expected score (291 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 32.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 13.7% expected score (4 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Englund Gambit
49.1%
Variations (5)
Englund Gambit: Hartlaub-Charlick Gambit
47.5%
Englund Gambit: Main Line
48.0%
Englund Gambit: Soller Gambit
50.3%
Englund Gambit: Felbecker Gambit
51.5%
Englund Gambit: Soller Gambit Deferred
50.4%
Analyze Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate?

The Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 58.8% (90% CI: 58.4%-59.1%) win rate for white, based on 57K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit perform best?

The Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 60.3% win rate for white (11K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (70.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (46.4%) by 23.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit?

The Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.5 (very decisive), meaning 96.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 57.9% (90% CI: 57.3%-58.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 59.5%-61.1%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 59.9% (90% CI: 59.1%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 8.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 60.3% (90% CI: 59.3%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 54.6%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 59.4% (90% CI: 57.9%-61.0%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 57.0% (90% CI: 54.3%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 956 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 57.2% (90% CI: 52.7%-61.6%) win rate for white, based on 337 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 39.7%-53.2%) win rate for white (146 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.5%-56.7%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 58.9% (90% CI: 58.4%-59.4%) win rate for white (24K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 61.8% (90% CI: 61.1%-62.5%) win rate for white (14K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.

What is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit has a 70.1% (90% CI: 66.6%-73.5%) win rate for white (477 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit a good opening?

The Englund Gambit: Mosquito Gambit is statistically favors white with a 58.8% (90% CI: 58.4%-59.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.