Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation
165K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.3%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 51.5%.
Measured over 165K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 4.3 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 165K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 165K
- Best context
- 56.3% at 2000-2199 Rapid
- Worst context
- 45.2% at 0-999 Bullet
- Average game length
- 33 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 95.7%
- Draws
- 4.3%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.4% at 0-999, 50.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (1,074 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.6% expected score (1,060 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.5% expected score (269 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (2,582 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (2,905 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (740 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (6,570 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.0% expected score (8,563 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.3% expected score (1,893 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.9% expected score (42 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 68.2% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.5% expected score (9,791 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 52.8% expected score (18,114 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.7% expected score (4,167 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.6% expected score (124 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (11,560 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (23,699 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 54.1% expected score (5,912 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 62.7% expected score (220 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (11,954 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (21,654 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.2% expected score (5,257 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.8% expected score (159 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (7,960 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (10,515 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (1,741 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 53.1% expected score (31 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (3,918 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (2,059 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 60.4% expected score (230 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (442 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.3% expected score (74 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (7 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation scores 51.3% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 51.1% and 51.5% — from 165K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 165K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate?
Playing the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation, White wins 49.1%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.3%. It rests on 165K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation perform best?
The Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation performs best for White at 2500+, with an Expected Score of 56.1% (523 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For White, the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 52.4% in Blitz (89K games) against 53.9% in Rapid (20K games).
How sharp is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation?
The Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, White wins 44.2%, draws 3.1% and loses 52.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.8%. It rests on 2.4K Lichess games, which average 23 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, White wins 47.4%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 49.1%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 26 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, White wins 49.1%, draws 3.4% and loses 47.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 50.8%. It rests on 17K Lichess games, which average 28 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, White wins 49.5%, draws 3.9% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.5%. It rests on 32K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, White wins 49.6%, draws 4.3% and loses 46.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.8%. It rests on 41K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, White wins 48.9%, draws 4.5% and loses 46.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.2%. It rests on 39K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, White wins 49.0%, draws 4.8% and loses 46.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 51.4%. It rests on 20K Lichess games, which average 36 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, White wins 49.8%, draws 5.3% and loses 44.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.5%. It rests on 6.2K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, White wins 52.9%, draws 6.4% and loses 40.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 56.1%. It rests on 523 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, White wins 46.8%, draws 3.3% and loses 49.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 48.5%. It rests on 56K Lichess games.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, White wins 50.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 45.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 52.4%. It rests on 89K Lichess games.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, White wins 51.4%, draws 4.9% and loses 43.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 53.9%. It rests on 20K Lichess games.
What is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, White wins 54.0%, draws 6.5% and loses 39.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 57.3%. It rests on 588 Lichess games.
Is the Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation a good opening?
The Englund Gambit Complex: Stockholm Variation is about level. Across all ratings, White wins 49.1% of its games and loses 46.6%. It performs best at 2500+. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.