English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation
278K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
Black expected score · All ratings · All speeds
46.7%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 46.9%.
Measured over 278K games at this level and clock.
Black comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.
Outcomes for Black
Draw 5.5 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 278K games
- Rank among the families Black can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 278K
- Best context
- 49.2% at 1200-1399 Rapid
- Worst context
- 44.0% at 2500+ Bullet
- Average game length
- 37 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 94.5%
- Draws
- 5.5%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Where it holds · Black score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for Black, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It holds about the same all the way up, near 40.5%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (660 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (612 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (230 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (1,990 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (2,084 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (673 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (4,623 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (6,174 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,678 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (52 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (8,683 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (13,580 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (3,268 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (137 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (15,132 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (24,896 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (6,249 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (329 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (18,226 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (34,724 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (7,800 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (461 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (20,254 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (34,189 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (5,469 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (202 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (22,399 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (27,112 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (2,244 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (9,726 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (3,529 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (114 games)
- 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation scores 46.7% for Black — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 46.6% and 46.9% — from 278K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 278K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate?
Playing the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation, Black wins 44.0%, draws 5.5% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 278K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation perform best?
The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation performs best for Black at 1200-1399, with an Expected Score of 47.6% (13K games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.
Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation better in blitz or rapid?
For Black, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation scores higher in Rapid: an Expected Score of 46.9% in Blitz (147K games) against 47.9% in Rapid (28K games).
How sharp is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation?
The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, Black wins 44.6%, draws 3.1% and loses 52.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.2%. It rests on 1.5K Lichess games, which average 27 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, Black wins 46.3%, draws 3.1% and loses 50.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 4.8K Lichess games, which average 30 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, Black wins 46.0%, draws 3.2% and loses 50.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.6%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 31 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, Black wins 45.5%, draws 3.7% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.4%. It rests on 26K Lichess games, which average 33 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, Black wins 45.0%, draws 4.5% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.3%. It rests on 47K Lichess games, which average 35 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, Black wins 44.3%, draws 5.3% and loses 50.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.0%. It rests on 61K Lichess games, which average 37 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, Black wins 43.6%, draws 6.1% and loses 50.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.7%. It rests on 60K Lichess games, which average 38 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, Black wins 42.5%, draws 7.0% and loses 50.5%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.0%. It rests on 52K Lichess games, which average 39 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, Black wins 40.2%, draws 7.6% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 13K Lichess games, which average 42 moves.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet, Black wins 44.1%, draws 4.0% and loses 51.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.1%. It rests on 102K Lichess games.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz, Black wins 43.8%, draws 6.2% and loses 50.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.9%. It rests on 147K Lichess games.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid, Black wins 44.4%, draws 7.1% and loses 48.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.9%. It rests on 28K Lichess games.
What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Classical?
In Classical, Black wins 41.6%, draws 9.5% and loses 48.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.4%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.
Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation a good opening?
The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation is hard work for Black — it favours White. Across all ratings, Black wins 44.0% of its games and loses 50.6%. It performs best at 1200-1399. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.