TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation

278K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score46.7%Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.9%Based on 278K games
0%46.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.6% – 46.9%
Outcome Distribution
44.0%5.5%50.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...Nc6
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation
Analyzen=278K
Avg Length37 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.5%

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.6% and 46.9%), based on 278K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 45% → 40%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.6% win rate (1,507 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.3% win rate (4,761 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.0% win rate (12,541 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.5% win rate (25,683 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.0% win rate (46,618 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.3% win rate (61,213 games)
  • 2000-2199: 43.6% win rate (60,115 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.5% win rate (51,808 games)
  • 2500+: 40.2% win rate (13,370 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.9% win rate (52 games)
  • Bullet: 44.1% win rate (101,693 games)
  • Blitz: 43.8% win rate (146,900 games)
  • Rapid: 44.4% win rate (27,725 games)
  • Classical: 41.6% win rate (1,246 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (660 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (612 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (230 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (1,990 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (2,084 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (673 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 56.5% expected score (14 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (4,623 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (6,174 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.2% expected score (1,678 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 51.9% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 34.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (8,683 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (13,580 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (3,268 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 42.8% expected score (137 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.5% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.7% expected score (15,132 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (24,896 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 48.9% expected score (6,249 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.7% expected score (329 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (18,226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (34,724 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (7,800 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 46.6% expected score (461 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.2% expected score (20,254 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (34,189 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (5,469 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 40.4% expected score (202 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (22,399 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (27,112 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (2,244 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 47.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (9,726 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (3,529 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 43.1% expected score (114 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 278K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation perform best?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 52.2% win rate for white (13K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.9%) outperforms UltraBullet (55.1%) by -3.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a sharpness score of 94.5 (decisive), meaning 94.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 37 moves.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 52K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.2%) win rate for white (102K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.2%) win rate for white (147K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 48.6% (90% CI: 48.1%-49.0%) win rate for white (28K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.1%.

What is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 46.5%-51.2%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.5%.

Is the English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: Symmetrical Variation, Ultra-Symmetrical Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.