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English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon

369K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.3%Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.4%Based on 369K games
0%47.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.2% – 47.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.1%4.4%50.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...d5
English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon
Analyzen=369K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.4%

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 47.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.2% and 47.4%), based on 369K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 48% → 44%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 48.1% win rate (8,518 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.5% win rate (22,549 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.6% win rate (44,001 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.3% win rate (62,952 games)
  • 1600-1799: 44.9% win rate (76,649 games)
  • 1800-1999: 44.7% win rate (73,508 games)
  • 2000-2199: 45.0% win rate (50,693 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.3% win rate (26,329 games)
  • 2500+: 43.9% win rate (3,748 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (49%), worst in Classical (42%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.0% win rate (171 games)
  • Bullet: 45.6% win rate (94,477 games)
  • Blitz: 44.9% win rate (196,900 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (73,685 games)
  • Classical: 42.1% win rate (3,714 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (2,770 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (4,216 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (1,520 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (6,023 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (11,721 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4,756 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 52.9% expected score (33 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (10,469 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (22,698 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.6% expected score (10,496 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (298 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.8% expected score (70 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.6% expected score (13,667 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.1% expected score (33,380 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (14,992 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 45.5% expected score (843 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.7% expected score (28 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (17,222 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (41,130 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.1% expected score (17,102 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (1,167 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.3% expected score (15,825 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (41,825 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (14,895 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.3% expected score (955 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (14,377 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (28,083 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 48.4% expected score (7,879 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.2% expected score (353 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (11,172 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (13,111 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (1,987 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 34.3% expected score (59 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (2,952 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.5% expected score (736 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 38.3% expected score (58 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 369K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon perform best?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 51.2% win rate for white (63K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.3%) outperforms UltraBullet (50.7%) by 0.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a sharpness score of 95.6 (very decisive), meaning 95.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.2%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 44K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 77K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 74K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 49.3% (90% CI: 48.9%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-57.0%) win rate for white (171 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.3%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.6%) win rate for white (94K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.6%) win rate for white (197K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.3%-49.9%) win rate for white (74K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon has a 51.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-52.4%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon a good opening?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Reversed Dragon is statistically favors white with a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.