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English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation

402K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.4%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 47.6%Based on 402K games
0%47.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 47.6%
Outcome Distribution
45.1%4.6%50.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...c6
English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation
Analyzen=402K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate4.6%

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 47.4% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 47.6%), based on 402K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 49% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.4% win rate (5,074 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.0% win rate (14,570 games)
  • 1200-1399: 46.4% win rate (33,650 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.9% win rate (60,079 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.1% win rate (90,537 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.1% win rate (102,016 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.3% win rate (63,668 games)
  • 2200-2499: 43.8% win rate (27,899 games)
  • 2500+: 41.0% win rate (4,744 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (43%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 46.5% win rate (49 games)
  • Bullet: 45.7% win rate (84,889 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (232,239 games)
  • Rapid: 44.7% win rate (80,868 games)
  • Classical: 42.7% win rate (4,192 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 52.4% expected score (1,586 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.7% expected score (2,620 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (861 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (3,945 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (7,692 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (2,899 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (30 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (7,890 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 48.1% expected score (18,254 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 48.0% expected score (7,270 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.4% expected score (229 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (11,911 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (33,849 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (13,523 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.2% expected score (774 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (16,897 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.5% expected score (51,946 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.4% expected score (20,342 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.1% expected score (1,347 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (16,851 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (62,357 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (21,524 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.4% expected score (1,276 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (13,105 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (38,471 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (11,645 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.8% expected score (447 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (9,602 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (15,595 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (2,640 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.2% expected score (61 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (3,102 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (1,455 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (164 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 41.8% expected score (23 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 402K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation perform best?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation performs best at 1600-1799 Elo with a 50.9% win rate for white (91K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.0%) outperforms Classical (49.8%) by 1.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a sharpness score of 95.4 (very decisive), meaning 95.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 48.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-49.2%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 34K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.8%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 102K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-50.6%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 43.3% (90% CI: 42.1%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 15.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white (232K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (81K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.0%) win rate for white (4.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Two Knights Variation, Keres Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.2%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1600-1799 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.