1.8M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 46.9% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.9% and 47.0%), based on 1.8M Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 46% → 44%
Best in UltraBullet (47%), worst in Classical (42%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.8M rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 52.3% win rate for white (132K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Classical (52.9%) outperforms Blitz (50.8%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a sharpness score of 96.2 (very decisive), meaning 96.2% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 64K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 132K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 219K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 291K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 329K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.5% (90% CI: 50.4%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 329K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.1% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 259K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.6%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 157K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.2% (90% CI: 49.7%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 52.1% (90% CI: 50.8%-53.5%) win rate for white (3.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.5%-51.7%) win rate for white (743K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.9%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.7%-50.9%) win rate for white (816K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 51.1% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.2%) win rate for white (230K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.
In Classical games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian has a 52.9% (90% CI: 52.1%-53.7%) win rate for white (10K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.4%.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Closed Sicilian is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.