330K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 54.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.1% and 54.4%), based on 330K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 50% → 42%
Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (50%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 330K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 52.6% win rate for white (39K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (51.3%) outperforms Classical (49.8%) by 1.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a sharpness score of 94.0 (decisive), meaning 94.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 50.3% (90% CI: 49.2%-51.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.8%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 52.6% (90% CI: 52.2%-53.0%) win rate for white, based on 39K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.8% (90% CI: 51.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 55K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 63K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 62K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.8%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.4% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 42.4% (90% CI: 41.8%-43.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 27.3% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 57.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-65.4%) win rate for white (110 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.0% (90% CI: 50.7%-51.3%) win rate for white (85K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.5%) win rate for white (179K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.0%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 51.3% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.6%) win rate for white (62K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.4%.
In Classical games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.2%) win rate for white (3.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.2%.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Fianchetto Line is statistically favors white with a 51.2% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.