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English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation

25K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.3%Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.8%Based on 25K games
0%47.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.8% – 47.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.5%3.6%50.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...e4
English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation
Analyzen=25K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 47.3% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.8% and 47.8%), based on 25K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 38%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (585 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.6% win rate (1,465 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.1% win rate (2,709 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.1% win rate (4,077 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.5% win rate (4,848 games)
  • 1800-1999: 45.5% win rate (5,426 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.8% win rate (3,935 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.9% win rate (1,650 games)
  • 2500+: 37.5% win rate (176 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (48%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 40.6% win rate (49 games)
  • Bullet: 45.4% win rate (6,665 games)
  • Blitz: 45.7% win rate (13,439 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (4,510 games)
  • Classical: 47.5% win rate (208 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (131 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.5% expected score (334 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (120 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (302 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.3% expected score (747 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (410 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 65.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 43.9% expected score (631 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 47.0% expected score (1,321 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.5% expected score (727 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 74.5% expected score (21 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 41.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.3% expected score (728 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (2,399 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (870 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 58.3% expected score (53 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 11.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.2% expected score (1,060 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 47.9% expected score (2,639 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (1,085 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 36.8% expected score (59 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 47.6% expected score (1,327 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.4% expected score (3,236 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.9% expected score (814 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (47 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.5% expected score (1,436 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (2,096 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.3% expected score (378 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 54.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.2% expected score (927 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (618 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (123 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 42.1% expected score (49 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 27.8% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 25K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation perform best?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 52.4% win rate for white (1.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (52.2%) outperforms Classical (45.6%) by 6.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 48.0%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 585 Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.2%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.5%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 51.3% (90% CI: 50.1%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 5.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 49.8%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 50.4%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-57.1%) win rate for white, based on 176 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 11.5% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 52.2% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.2%) win rate for white (6.7K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.2%) win rate for white (13K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.8%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation has a 45.6% (90% CI: 40.0%-51.3%) win rate for white (208 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Four Knights Variation, Bradley Beach Variation is statistically favors white with a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.