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English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit

5.1K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score47.7%Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 48.8%Based on 5.1K games
0%47.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 46.5% – 48.8%
Outcome Distribution
45.2%5.0%49.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...b5
English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit
Analyzen=5.1K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.0%

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 47.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 46.5% and 48.8%), based on 5.1K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointBlack

Peak: -4.3% · Breakpoint: 1400-1599

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 78% → 42%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 77.8% win rate (3 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.4% win rate (84 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.0% win rate (265 games)
  • 1800-1999: 48.2% win rate (801 games)
  • 2000-2199: 44.2% win rate (1,720 games)
  • 2200-2499: 44.9% win rate (1,897 games)
  • 2500+: 42.1% win rate (325 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Blitz (46%), worst in Classical (40%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 44.5% win rate (1,301 games)
  • Blitz: 45.5% win rate (3,412 games)
  • Rapid: 44.9% win rate (383 games)
  • Classical: 39.5% win rate (20 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999———
1000-1199———
1200-1399——
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 56.1% expected score (15 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 78.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (63 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.2% expected score (165 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 50.6% expected score (543 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.6% expected score (80 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 65.8% expected score (8 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 45.8% expected score (390 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (1,184 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 42.6% expected score (140 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (503 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (1,283 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (107 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 36.3% expected score (151 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 53.8% expected score (172 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 21.5% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 5.1K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit perform best?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 51.3% win rate for white (1.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.2%) outperforms Rapid (51.1%) by 0.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a sharpness score of 95.0 (very decisive), meaning 95.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 50.1% (90% CI: 45.1%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 265 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 46.3%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 801 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 51.3% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.7%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 47.1%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 325 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.0%-53.5%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 49.2% (90% CI: 47.8%-50.6%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.3%.

What is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit has a 51.1% (90% CI: 46.9%-55.3%) win rate for white (383 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

Is the English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit a good opening?

The English Opening: King's English Variation, Bellon Gambit is statistically balanced with a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.0%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.