15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 50.2% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 49.6% and 50.9%), based on 15K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 35% → 45%
Best in Classical (53%), worst in UltraBullet (46%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | |||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 55.7% win rate for white (412 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (47.8%) outperforms Classical (42.7%) by 5.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 50.5%-63.1%) win rate for white, based on 163 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 0.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 55.7% (90% CI: 51.7%-59.7%) win rate for white, based on 412 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 819 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 49.6% (90% CI: 47.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 44.1%-47.0%) win rate for white, based on 3.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 44.6%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 6.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 48.4% (90% CI: 46.6%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 6.2% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.1%-46.7%) win rate for white (4.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 47.8% (90% CI: 47.0%-48.7%) win rate for white (9.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit has a 49.1% (90% CI: 46.7%-51.4%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.
The English Opening: King's English Variation, Adhiban Gambit is statistically balanced with a 47.3% (90% CI: 46.6%-47.9%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.