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English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation

155K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score42.6%Range (90% confident): 42.4% – 42.8%Based on 155K games
0%42.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 42.4% – 42.8%
Outcome Distribution
40.5%4.3%55.3%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...Nxd5
English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation
Analyzen=155K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 42.6% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 42.4% and 42.8%), based on 155K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 44% → 36%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 43.8% win rate (1,333 games)
  • 1000-1199: 42.6% win rate (3,415 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.3% win rate (8,411 games)
  • 1400-1599: 42.2% win rate (14,857 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.1% win rate (24,048 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.9% win rate (32,567 games)
  • 2000-2199: 40.2% win rate (34,565 games)
  • 2200-2499: 38.6% win rate (27,024 games)
  • 2500+: 36.0% win rate (8,353 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (43%), worst in Classical (34%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.4% win rate (274 games)
  • Bullet: 41.7% win rate (64,701 games)
  • Blitz: 40.1% win rate (71,330 games)
  • Rapid: 37.8% win rate (17,361 games)
  • Classical: 34.0% win rate (907 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.1% expected score (422 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (678 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 42.1% expected score (232 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (1,157 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.9% expected score (1,732 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 39.1% expected score (518 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 23.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (3,017 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 41.8% expected score (3,953 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (1,393 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 35.1% expected score (42 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (4,777 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (7,095 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 41.2% expected score (2,825 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 38.6% expected score (134 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 45.3% expected score (7,120 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.0% expected score (12,706 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (3,888 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 41.4% expected score (310 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (85 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 44.1% expected score (10,884 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (16,830 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 39.3% expected score (4,475 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (293 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (87 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 43.3% expected score (13,457 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 42.4% expected score (17,945 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (2,974 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 34.6% expected score (102 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (41 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (16,384 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 39.0% expected score (9,562 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 37.4% expected score (1,018 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 37.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 39.1% expected score (7,483 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.2% expected score (829 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 36.1% expected score (38 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate?

The English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.5%) win rate for white, based on 155K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation perform best?

The English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 58.0% win rate for white (8.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (59.4%) outperforms UltraBullet (53.5%) by 5.9%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation?

The English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 53.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-56.2%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 55.3% (90% CI: 53.9%-56.7%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 56.3% (90% CI: 55.4%-57.2%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.2%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 54.2% (90% CI: 53.6%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 24K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 54.8% (90% CI: 54.4%-55.3%) win rate for white, based on 33K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.7%-55.6%) win rate for white, based on 35K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 56.1% (90% CI: 55.6%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 58.0% (90% CI: 57.1%-58.9%) win rate for white, based on 8.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 53.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-58.5%) win rate for white (274 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 54.6%-55.3%) win rate for white (65K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 55.1% (90% CI: 54.8%-55.4%) win rate for white (71K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 57.1% (90% CI: 56.5%-57.7%) win rate for white (17K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.0%.

What is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation has a 59.4% (90% CI: 56.7%-62.1%) win rate for white (907 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.7%.

Is the English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation a good opening?

The English Opening: Anglo-Indian Defense, Scandinavian Defense, Exchange Variation is statistically favors white with a 55.3% (90% CI: 55.1%-55.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.