7.8K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 46.7% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 45.8% and 47.7%), based on 7.8K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 42% → 36%
Best in Rapid (48%), worst in Bullet (43%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 7.8K rated games from Lichess.
The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 57.7% win rate for white (608 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (53.7%) outperforms Rapid (45.6%) by 8.1%. Choose your time control wisely.
The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a sharpness score of 94.8 (decisive), meaning 94.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 39 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 54.1% (90% CI: 47.9%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 175 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 50.4% (90% CI: 46.3%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 396 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 50.0% (90% CI: 46.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 618 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 48.6% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.0%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 2.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.0%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 2.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 57.7% (90% CI: 54.4%-60.9%) win rate for white, based on 608 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 6.5% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.0%-55.3%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.
In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 49.9% (90% CI: 48.7%-51.1%) win rate for white (4.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.9%.
In Rapid games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense has a 45.6% (90% CI: 42.7%-48.5%) win rate for white (778 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.9%.
The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Tarrasch Defense is statistically favors white with a 50.7% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.