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English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted

116K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score45.0%Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%Based on 116K games
0%45.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.7% – 45.2%
Outcome Distribution
42.0%5.9%52.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4...dxc4
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted
Analyzen=116K
Avg Length38 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate5.9%

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 45.0% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.7% and 45.2%), based on 116K Lichess games.

Black Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 36% → 41%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 35.5% win rate (270 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.7% win rate (726 games)
  • 1200-1399: 41.8% win rate (1,898 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.4% win rate (4,428 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.3% win rate (9,570 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.9% win rate (18,366 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.6% win rate (25,584 games)
  • 2200-2499: 41.8% win rate (37,878 games)
  • 2500+: 40.6% win rate (16,846 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (43%), worst in Classical (40%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 43.0% win rate (826 games)
  • Bullet: 41.9% win rate (57,965 games)
  • Blitz: 42.3% win rate (50,934 games)
  • Rapid: 40.6% win rate (5,549 games)
  • Classical: 39.7% win rate (292 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (90 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 32.4% expected score (146 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (33 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 45.0% expected score (226 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (405 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (89 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 59.9% expected score (44 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 42.5% expected score (793 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 43.4% expected score (847 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.5% expected score (207 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 26.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (68 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (2,132 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.1% expected score (1,835 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (375 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 73.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 44.4% expected score (211 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.8% expected score (4,437 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (4,175 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 45.0% expected score (692 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 42.9% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 49.6% expected score (224 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 43.5% expected score (8,480 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (8,386 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (1,183 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 37.3% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 38.8% expected score (190 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.5% expected score (11,724 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 46.2% expected score (12,219 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.4% expected score (1,374 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 55.1% expected score (77 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 34.6% expected score (83 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 44.0% expected score (18,558 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.8% expected score (17,791 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (1,414 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 36.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 44.2% expected score (11,525 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (5,130 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 39.7% expected score (182 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 39.5% expected score (8 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Analyze English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate for white, based on 116K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted perform best?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 62.4% win rate for white (270 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.7%) outperforms Classical (50.3%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a sharpness score of 94.1 (decisive), meaning 94.1% of games end decisively. Average game length is 38 moves.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 62.4% (90% CI: 57.6%-67.2%) win rate for white, based on 270 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 51.3% (90% CI: 48.3%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 726 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 55.0% (90% CI: 53.2%-56.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.2%-53.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 54.0% (90% CI: 53.1%-54.8%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 52.3% (90% CI: 51.8%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 26K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 50.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 38K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 7.2% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 50.7% (90% CI: 50.1%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 17K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 54.3% (90% CI: 51.5%-57.2%) win rate for white (826 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.7%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 53.7% (90% CI: 53.4%-54.1%) win rate for white (58K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.8%) win rate for white (51K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.3%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.3%-51.5%) win rate for white (5.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.0%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted has a 50.3% (90% CI: 45.5%-55.0%) win rate for white (292 Lichess games). Draw rate is 10.1%.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted a good opening?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense Accepted is statistically favors white with a 52.1% (90% CI: 51.9%-52.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.