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English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense

44K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
Black Expected Score44.5%Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 44.9%Based on 44K games
0%44.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 44.1% – 44.9%
Outcome Distribution
41.8%5.4%52.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...c5
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense
Analyzen=44K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness95%
Draw Rate5.4%

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense expected score for Black?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 44.5% expected score for Black (we're 90% confident it's between 44.1% and 44.9%), based on 44K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 8.3% · UltraBullet best · Classical worst

Black Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 44% → 37%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 44.1% win rate (365 games)
  • 1000-1199: 43.8% win rate (827 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (1,801 games)
  • 1400-1599: 44.1% win rate (3,239 games)
  • 1600-1799: 42.5% win rate (5,505 games)
  • 1800-1999: 43.7% win rate (8,592 games)
  • 2000-2199: 41.4% win rate (10,732 games)
  • 2200-2499: 40.4% win rate (10,091 games)
  • 2500+: 37.0% win rate (2,949 games)

Black Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (42%), worst in Classical (37%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 38.2% win rate (141 games)
  • Bullet: 41.9% win rate (18,437 games)
  • Blitz: 41.8% win rate (21,482 games)
  • Rapid: 41.7% win rate (3,877 games)
  • Classical: 36.6% win rate (164 games)

Black% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.9% expected score (104 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (210 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (50 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 46.3% expected score (239 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (482 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.9% expected score (103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 39.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 44.6% expected score (538 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.8% expected score (964 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (288 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 46.8% expected score (1,033 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (1,678 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (493 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 35.7% expected score (23 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 37.0% expected score (33 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (1,842 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (2,852 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (738 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.0% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.4% expected score (46 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.9% expected score (2,901 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 46.6% expected score (4,615 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (969 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.4% expected score (61 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 37.2% expected score (18 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 44.4% expected score (3,974 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (5,883 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.0% expected score (831 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.7% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 43.4% expected score (5,493 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (4,185 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 43.9% expected score (385 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 29.0% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 42.1% expected score (2,313 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 41.2% expected score (613 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (20 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Parent
English Opening
50.4%
Variations (5)
English Opening: King's English Variation
51.0%
English Opening: Agincourt Defense
50.2%
English Opening: Anglo-Scandinavian Defense
52.0%
English Opening: King's English Variation, Reversed Sicilian
52.2%
English Opening: Symmetrical Variation
50.5%
Continuations (1)
English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense, Semi-Slav Defense
53.2%
Analyze English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 44K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense perform best?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.5% win rate for white (10K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.9%) outperforms Classical (51.7%) by 2.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a sharpness score of 94.6 (decisive), meaning 94.6% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 48.8%-57.3%) win rate for white, based on 365 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 52.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 827 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 52.7% (90% CI: 50.7%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.5%) win rate for white, based on 3.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.4%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 5.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 51.6% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 8.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.7%-54.3%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 9.8% draw rate.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 60.0% (90% CI: 53.2%-66.6%) win rate for white (141 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 53.9% (90% CI: 53.3%-54.5%) win rate for white (18K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.2%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 52.0% (90% CI: 51.4%-52.6%) win rate for white (21K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.2%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 51.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-53.1%) win rate for white (3.9K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.5%.

What is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense has a 51.7% (90% CI: 45.3%-58.0%) win rate for white (164 Lichess games). Draw rate is 11.8%.

Is the English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense a good opening?

The English Opening: Agincourt Defense, Catalan Defense is statistically favors white with a 52.8% (90% CI: 52.4%-53.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.