What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin expected score for White?
Snapshot
At all ratings, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 25.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 22.7% and 28.0%), based on 732 Lichess games.
Dresden Opening: The Goblin
732 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
View As
Tough SellWhite Expected Score25.3%Range (90% confident): 22.7% – 28.0%Based on 732 games
0%25.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 22.7% – 28.0%
Outcome Distribution
23.7%3.2%73.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.Nxe5
Dresden Opening: The Goblin
Analyzen=732
Avg Length26 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
White Win% by Rating
Improves with rating: 24% → 71%
0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+
- 0-999: 24.3% win rate (355 games)
- 1000-1199: 27.3% win rate (121 games)
- 1200-1399: 14.3% win rate (65 games)
- 1400-1599: 17.8% win rate (142 games)
- 1600-1799: 25.6% win rate (20 games)
- 1800-1999: 48.4% win rate (14 games)
- 2000-2199: 47.8% win rate (10 games)
- 2200-2499: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
- 2500+: 71.4% win rate (2 games)
White Win% by Time Control
Best in UltraBullet (41%), worst in Classical (16%)
UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical
- UltraBullet: 41.2% win rate (7 games)
- Bullet: 25.5% win rate (169 games)
- Blitz: 20.9% win rate (231 games)
- Rapid: 25.3% win rate (293 games)
- Classical: 16.4% win rate (32 games)
White% by Rating × Time Control
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | — | ||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | |||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 32.4% expected score (78 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 23.1% expected score (110 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 25.8% expected score (162 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 24.5% expected score (22 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.4% expected score (47 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 29.0% expected score (46 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 7.1% expected score (16 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 14.2% expected score (25 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 25.6% expected score (21 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 14.6% expected score (31 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 11.1% expected score (32 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 30.9% expected score (56 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 13.4% expected score (19 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 8.9% expected score (7 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
Analyze Dresden Opening: The Goblin PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate?
The Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 23.7% (90% CI: 21.1%-26.3%) win rate for white, based on 732 rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Dresden Opening: The Goblin perform best?
The Dresden Opening: The Goblin performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 27.3% win rate for white (121 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin better in blitz or rapid?
Rapid (25.3%) outperforms Blitz (20.9%) by 4.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin?
The Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 26 moves.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate at 0-999 Elo?
At 0-999 Elo, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 24.3% (90% CI: 20.6%-28.1%) win rate for white, based on 355 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 27.3% (90% CI: 21.0%-34.2%) win rate for white, based on 121 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 17.8% (90% CI: 12.8%-23.2%) win rate for white, based on 142 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 25.5% (90% CI: 20.2%-31.1%) win rate for white (169 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.9%.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 20.9% (90% CI: 16.6%-25.4%) win rate for white (231 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
What is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Dresden Opening: The Goblin has a 25.3% (90% CI: 21.2%-29.6%) win rate for white (293 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
Is the Dresden Opening: The Goblin a good opening?
The Dresden Opening: The Goblin is slightly favors black with a 23.7% (90% CI: 21.1%-26.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.