3.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 44.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 43.2% and 45.9%), based on 3.7K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Stable across ratings (~40%)
Best in Bullet (43%), worst in Classical (38%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.6%-43.3%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K rated games from Lichess.
The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 45.4% win rate for white (363 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (43.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.0%) by 2.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 40.2% (90% CI: 36.8%-43.6%) win rate for white, based on 572 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 8.5% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 45.4% (90% CI: 41.1%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 363 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 43.4% (90% CI: 39.2%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 40.6% (90% CI: 36.3%-44.9%) win rate for white, based on 352 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 44.0% (90% CI: 40.0%-48.1%) win rate for white, based on 413 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 41.9% (90% CI: 38.2%-45.6%) win rate for white, based on 482 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 39.0% (90% CI: 35.5%-42.5%) win rate for white, based on 513 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 43.1% (90% CI: 39.6%-46.6%) win rate for white, based on 536 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 39.4% (90% CI: 32.6%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 137 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.
In UltraBullet games, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 34.1%-48.0%) win rate for white (134 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.1%.
In Bullet games, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 43.0% (90% CI: 41.2%-44.7%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Blitz games, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 40.7% (90% CI: 38.4%-43.1%) win rate for white (1.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 8.6%.
In Rapid games, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a 39.3% (90% CI: 34.4%-44.3%) win rate for white (262 Lichess games). Draw rate is 9.7%.
The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit is slightly favors black with a 41.9% (90% CI: 40.6%-43.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.