Skip to content
TrueEloPlay what wins.
Score a position

Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit

3.7K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

8
7
6
5
4
3
2
a1
b
c
d
e
f
g
h
2.g4
Analyze this line move by move

White expected score · All ratings · All speeds

44.5%

40%55%
Floor43.2%

the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 45.9%.

Measured over 3.7K games at this level and clock.

Tough Sellloses more often than it wins at this level

White comes out behind here — there are better weapons in the list.

Outcomes for White

Draw 5.1 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 3.7K games

Rank among the families White can choose here
not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
Games in this context
3.7K
Best context
45.1% at 2200-2499 Bullet
Average game length
32 moves
Games that end decisively
94.9%
Draws
5.1%

Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: −13.3% · Breakpoint: 0-999

Where it holds · White score by rating × clock

Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It falls away as the rating rises: 51.1% at 0-999, 40.7% at 2500+.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999—
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199——
2200-2499——
2500+————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 48.8% expected score (120 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (336 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 41.9% expected score (115 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (121 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (184 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 45.4% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 44.3% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 46.1% expected score (138 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (167 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 38.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 13.7% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 37.1% expected score (14 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 42.8% expected score (172 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 45.2% expected score (122 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.9% expected score (38 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 35.3% expected score (29 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 46.9% expected score (270 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (99 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 69.4% expected score (14 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (38 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (234 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.9% expected score (204 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 40.8% expected score (456 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 39.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 45.1% expected score (513 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 40.7% expected score (137 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Clemenz Opening
46.5%
Analyze Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit PositionsSee what each move is worth at your rating, move by move

Methodology

Across every rating and clock, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit scores 44.5% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 43.2% and 45.9% — from 3.7K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.

How the figures are made
Whose games these are
3.7K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
Which games we count
  • Rated games only — nothing casual.
  • Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
  • At least 2 moves played.
  • A game is filed under White’s rating.
Why every number comes with a range
A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
How much we need before we say anything
An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games at a rating before we will say whether it pays there. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games overall and 250 games at one rating or clock.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate?

Playing the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit, White wins 41.9%, draws 5.1% and loses 53.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.5%. It rests on 3.7K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit perform best?

The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit performs best for White at 1000-1199, with an Expected Score of 47.7% (363 games) and the highest Floor of any rating with enough games to read.

Is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

For White, the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit scores about the same in both: an Expected Score of 45.0% in Blitz (1.2K games) against 44.2% in Rapid (262 games).

How sharp is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit?

The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit has a sharpness score of 94.9 (decisive), meaning 94.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 0-999?

At 0-999, White wins 40.2%, draws 8.5% and loses 51.4%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.4%. It rests on 572 Lichess games, which average 29 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?

At 1000-1199, White wins 45.4%, draws 4.5% and loses 50.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 47.7%. It rests on 363 Lichess games, which average 28 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?

At 1200-1399, White wins 43.4%, draws 6.8% and loses 49.8%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 46.8%. It rests on 361 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?

At 1400-1599, White wins 40.6%, draws 6.1% and loses 53.3%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.7%. It rests on 352 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?

At 1600-1799, White wins 44.0%, draws 3.7% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.9%. It rests on 413 Lichess games, which average 31 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?

At 1800-1999, White wins 41.9%, draws 4.2% and loses 53.9%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.0%. It rests on 482 Lichess games, which average 34 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?

At 2000-2199, White wins 39.0%, draws 3.4% and loses 57.6%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.7%. It rests on 513 Lichess games, which average 32 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?

At 2200-2499, White wins 43.1%, draws 4.7% and loses 52.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.5%. It rests on 536 Lichess games, which average 35 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate at 2500+?

At 2500+, White wins 39.4%, draws 2.5% and loses 58.1%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 40.7%. It rests on 137 Lichess games, which average 40 moves.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet, White wins 41.0%, draws 4.1% and loses 55.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 43.0%. It rests on 134 Lichess games.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet, White wins 43.0%, draws 2.8% and loses 54.2%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.4%. It rests on 2.2K Lichess games.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz, White wins 40.7%, draws 8.6% and loses 50.7%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 45.0%. It rests on 1.2K Lichess games.

What is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid, White wins 39.3%, draws 9.7% and loses 51.0%. Counting a draw as half a point, that is an Expected Score of 44.2%. It rests on 262 Lichess games.

Is the Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit a good opening?

The Clemenz Opening: Spike Lee Gambit is hard work for White — it favours Black. Across all ratings, White wins 41.9% of its games and loses 53.0%. It performs best at 1000-1199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.