TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation

56K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.0%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.4%Based on 56K games
0%49.0%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 49.4%
Outcome Distribution
45.9%6.2%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.dxe5
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation
Analyzen=56K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.2%

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 49.0% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 49.4%), based on 56K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Traps & Chaos

Complexity: 97.5 · Trap factor: +4.2 · n=56K

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 52% → 49%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 51.5% win rate (9,201 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (7,692 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.6% win rate (6,481 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.4% win rate (6,675 games)
  • 1600-1799: 43.6% win rate (7,094 games)
  • 1800-1999: 40.4% win rate (7,908 games)
  • 2000-2199: 42.2% win rate (6,074 games)
  • 2200-2499: 42.2% win rate (4,237 games)
  • 2500+: 48.9% win rate (599 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in UltraBullet (52%), worst in Blitz (45%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 51.8% win rate (503 games)
  • Bullet: 45.4% win rate (18,956 games)
  • Blitz: 45.1% win rate (24,826 games)
  • Rapid: 48.2% win rate (11,340 games)
  • Classical: 51.1% win rate (336 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.6% expected score (1,557 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.4% expected score (4,927 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (2,686 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 48.1% expected score (24 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 45.8% expected score (22 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (1,628 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (3,424 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (2,560 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.8% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (41 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 48.0% expected score (1,818 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.1% expected score (2,684 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 53.9% expected score (1,843 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 59.4% expected score (95 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 52.9% expected score (121 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.6% expected score (2,288 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 46.9% expected score (2,872 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (1,319 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.1% expected score (146 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (2,467 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.6% expected score (3,204 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.5% expected score (1,237 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 53.6% expected score (40 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 55.4% expected score (92 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 45.4% expected score (2,719 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 42.2% expected score (3,916 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 42.0% expected score (1,149 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (32 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (39 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 46.7% expected score (2,896 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 44.5% expected score (2,667 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 44.3% expected score (460 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (12 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (25 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 46.4% expected score (3,024 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 46.4% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 33.9% expected score (85 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 58.7% expected score (10 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (559 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (29 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit
48.0%
Variations (5)
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Blackmar Gambit
50.9%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Diemer-Rosenberg Attack
47.8%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Fritz Attack
46.2%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit
44.4%
Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Lange Gambit
48.1%
Analyze Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.2%) win rate for white, based on 56K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation perform best?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 51.5% win rate for white (9.2K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation better in blitz or rapid?

UltraBullet (51.8%) outperforms Blitz (45.1%) by 6.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a sharpness score of 93.8 (decisive), meaning 93.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.7%-52.4%) win rate for white, based on 9.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.7%-51.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 6.3% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.4%-46.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 43.6% (90% CI: 42.6%-44.5%) win rate for white, based on 7.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 40.4% (90% CI: 39.5%-41.3%) win rate for white, based on 7.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.1% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.1%-43.2%) win rate for white, based on 6.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.9% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 42.2% (90% CI: 41.0%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 4.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.8% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 599 Lichess games. Average game length is 43 moves with a 8.4% draw rate.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 51.8% (90% CI: 48.2%-55.5%) win rate for white (503 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 45.4% (90% CI: 44.8%-46.0%) win rate for white (19K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-45.6%) win rate for white (25K Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.8%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.4%-48.9%) win rate for white (11K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

What is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation has a 51.1% (90% CI: 46.6%-55.6%) win rate for white (336 Lichess games). Draw rate is 6.1%.

Is the Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation a good opening?

The Blackmar-Diemer Gambit: Lemberger Countergambit, Endgame Variation is statistically balanced with a 45.9% (90% CI: 45.5%-46.2%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.