TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation

541 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score39.2%Range (90% confident): 35.7% – 42.6%Based on 541 games
0%39.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 35.7% – 42.6%
Outcome Distribution
35.9%6.5%57.6%
Win
Draw
Loss
6...Qe7+
Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation
Analyzen=541
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness94%
Draw Rate6.5%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 39.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 35.7% and 42.6%), based on 541 Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: -24.9% · Breakpoint: 1800-1999

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 46% → 30%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 45.5% win rate (4 games)
  • 1000-1199: 33.3% win rate (3 games)
  • 1200-1399: 36.8% win rate (8 games)
  • 1400-1599: 38.2% win rate (26 games)
  • 1600-1799: 33.3% win rate (45 games)
  • 1800-1999: 41.4% win rate (123 games)
  • 2000-2199: 38.4% win rate (177 games)
  • 2200-2499: 28.3% win rate (138 games)
  • 2500+: 29.7% win rate (17 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (66%), worst in UltraBullet (20%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 20.0% win rate (1 games)
  • Bullet: 38.5% win rate (127 games)
  • Blitz: 33.9% win rate (301 games)
  • Rapid: 32.3% win rate (93 games)
  • Classical: 65.9% win rate (19 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399———
1400-1599—
1600-1799—
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 64.3% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.2% expected score (16 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 34.2% expected score (8 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 27.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.6% expected score (22 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 28.8% expected score (15 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.1% expected score (18 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 44.8% expected score (75 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 34.9% expected score (25 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (29 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 32.5% expected score (107 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (30 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 82.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 29.5% expected score (57 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 36.8% expected score (74 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 20.6% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 35.7% expected score (16 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 35.9% (90% CI: 32.5%-39.3%) win rate for white, based on 541 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 41.4% win rate for white (123 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (38.5%) outperforms Rapid (32.3%) by 6.2%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a sharpness score of 93.5 (decisive), meaning 93.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 41.4% (90% CI: 34.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 123 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 38.4% (90% CI: 32.5%-44.4%) win rate for white, based on 177 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 28.3% (90% CI: 22.2%-34.7%) win rate for white, based on 138 Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 8.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 38.5% (90% CI: 31.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (127 Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.5%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation has a 33.9% (90% CI: 29.5%-38.4%) win rate for white (301 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.8%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Urusov Gambit, Panov Variation is slightly favors black with a 35.9% (90% CI: 32.5%-39.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.