Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit

389 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score51.4%Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 55.6%Based on 389 games
0%51.4%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.3% – 55.6%
Outcome Distribution
50.6%1.7%47.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3...f5
Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit
Analyzen=389
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness98%
Draw Rate1.7%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 51.4% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.3% and 55.6%), based on 389 Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 53.8% win rate (18 games)
  • 1000-1199: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1200-1399: 43.6% win rate (18 games)
  • 1400-1599: 35.8% win rate (25 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.8% win rate (130 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.8% win rate (98 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.5% win rate (46 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.8% win rate (40 games)
  • 2500+: 55.6% win rate (3 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (60%), worst in Classical (43%)

Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • Bullet: 60.0% win rate (56 games)
  • Blitz: 47.3% win rate (177 games)
  • Rapid: 50.5% win rate (154 games)
  • Classical: 42.9% win rate (2 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.1% expected score (10 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 60.6% expected score (8 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 35.7% expected score (9 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 15.2% expected score (10 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 44.4% expected score (34 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.3% expected score (91 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 56.7% expected score (66 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (26 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 62.3% expected score (23 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 67.1% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.0% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Analyze Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 389 rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit performs best at 1800-1999 Elo with a 52.8% win rate for white (98 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (60.0%) outperforms Blitz (47.3%) by 12.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a sharpness score of 98.3 (very decisive), meaning 98.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 42.7%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 130 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 1.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 47.3% (90% CI: 41.2%-53.5%) win rate for white (177 Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit has a 50.5% (90% CI: 43.9%-57.1%) win rate for white (154 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.6%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Thorold Gambit is slightly favors black with a 50.6% (90% CI: 46.4%-54.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1800-1999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.