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Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit

709K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score56.6%Range (90% confident): 56.5% – 56.7%Based on 709K games
0%56.6%100%
Range (90% confident): 56.5% – 56.7%
Outcome Distribution
55.0%3.2%41.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d4
Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit
Analyzen=709K
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 56.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 56.5% and 56.7%), based on 709K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +20.0% · Breakpoint: Never

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 50% → 58%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.9% win rate (55,522 games)
  • 1000-1199: 53.3% win rate (80,150 games)
  • 1200-1399: 54.5% win rate (120,268 games)
  • 1400-1599: 55.2% win rate (142,806 games)
  • 1600-1799: 55.9% win rate (146,536 games)
  • 1800-1999: 56.8% win rate (106,036 games)
  • 2000-2199: 57.4% win rate (46,531 games)
  • 2200-2499: 58.4% win rate (9,738 games)
  • 2500+: 58.4% win rate (1,160 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (56%), worst in UltraBullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (1,139 games)
  • Bullet: 56.0% win rate (92,375 games)
  • Blitz: 55.4% win rate (378,345 games)
  • Rapid: 54.1% win rate (225,313 games)
  • Classical: 53.5% win rate (11,575 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.6% expected score (8,605 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.9% expected score (27,690 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.2% expected score (19,069 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 47.0% expected score (130 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (76 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.9% expected score (9,992 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.0% expected score (43,428 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (26,108 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 50.9% expected score (546 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 49.8% expected score (237 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 57.1% expected score (13,527 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.4% expected score (63,585 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 54.8% expected score (40,571 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (2,348 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.8% expected score (576 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (15,683 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 57.0% expected score (74,759 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (48,412 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.4% expected score (3,376 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 55.8% expected score (155 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.0% expected score (15,526 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 57.8% expected score (78,011 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 57.3% expected score (49,748 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.0% expected score (3,096 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (36 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.8% expected score (15,056 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 59.0% expected score (58,714 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 58.3% expected score (30,513 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (1,717 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 62.3% expected score (27 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 57.6% expected score (8,892 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 59.6% expected score (27,414 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 60.7% expected score (9,860 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 64.4% expected score (338 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (4,053 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 61.5% expected score (4,634 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 65.9% expected score (1,024 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 66.4% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 60.4% expected score (1,041 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 65.3% expected score (110 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 709K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 58.4% win rate for white (9.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (56.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (52.9%) by 3.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit?

The Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 56K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 3.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.0%-53.6%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 54.5% (90% CI: 54.2%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 120K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 55.2% (90% CI: 55.0%-55.4%) win rate for white, based on 143K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 55.9% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.1%) win rate for white, based on 147K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 56.8% (90% CI: 56.5%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 106K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 57.4% (90% CI: 57.0%-57.7%) win rate for white, based on 47K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 57.6%-59.2%) win rate for white, based on 9.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 58.4% (90% CI: 56.0%-60.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 52.9% (90% CI: 50.5%-55.3%) win rate for white (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.8%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 56.0% (90% CI: 55.7%-56.2%) win rate for white (92K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 55.4% (90% CI: 55.2%-55.5%) win rate for white (378K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 53.9%-54.2%) win rate for white (225K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 52.8%-54.3%) win rate for white (12K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Ponziani Gambit is statistically favors white with a 55.0% (90% CI: 54.9%-55.1%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.