TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation

219K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.9%Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.1%Based on 219K games
0%51.9%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.7% – 52.1%
Outcome Distribution
50.2%3.3%46.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.c3
Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation
Analyzen=219K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.3%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 51.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.7% and 52.1%), based on 219K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 60%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 49.2% win rate (9,795 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.8% win rate (22,267 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.6% win rate (44,765 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.9% win rate (58,454 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (50,882 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.7% win rate (27,326 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.5% win rate (5,249 games)
  • 2200-2499: 56.5% win rate (507 games)
  • 2500+: 60.0% win rate (11 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~51%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 49.6% win rate (296 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (34,701 games)
  • Blitz: 50.3% win rate (133,496 games)
  • Rapid: 49.8% win rate (49,012 games)
  • Classical: 51.4% win rate (1,751 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499—
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 53.5% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (2,672 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 50.7% expected score (4,821 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 48.2% expected score (2,256 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 29.7% expected score (33 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 57.3% expected score (26 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (5,072 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (13,169 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (3,934 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 47.8% expected score (66 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.0% expected score (115 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.8% expected score (7,541 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.2% expected score (28,609 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.7% expected score (8,296 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.2% expected score (204 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (84 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (7,699 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 51.7% expected score (37,404 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (12,663 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 53.8% expected score (604 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 59.4% expected score (52 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 51.1% expected score (7,358 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 52.3% expected score (30,126 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (12,756 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 52.7% expected score (590 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 76.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (3,125 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (16,226 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.2% expected score (7,742 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.9% expected score (227 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.4% expected score (976 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.1% expected score (2,935 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.3% expected score (1,312 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.1% expected score (26 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 57.9% expected score (251 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (203 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 68.7% expected score (52 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 79.5% expected score (7 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 30.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 219K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 56.5% win rate for white (507 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.6%) outperforms UltraBullet (49.6%) by 1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a sharpness score of 96.7 (very decisive), meaning 96.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 49.2% (90% CI: 48.4%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 9.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.3%-51.4%) win rate for white, based on 22K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 58K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.8%) win rate for white, based on 51K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.2%) win rate for white, based on 27K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.5% (90% CI: 49.4%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 56.5% (90% CI: 52.9%-60.1%) win rate for white, based on 507 Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 44.8%-54.3%) win rate for white (296 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.2%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.1%) win rate for white (35K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 50.3% (90% CI: 50.0%-50.5%) win rate for white (133K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.4%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 49.4%-50.2%) win rate for white (49K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 49.4%-53.3%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Philidor Variation is statistically balanced with a 50.2% (90% CI: 50.1%-50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.