4.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 54.6% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 53.4% and 55.7%), based on 4.9K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 53% → 20%
Similar across time controls (~54%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | ||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.9K rated games from Lichess.
The Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit performs best at 1400-1599 Elo with a 54.1% win rate for white (1.1K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (53.2%) outperforms Classical (52.4%) by 0.8%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.5 (very decisive), meaning 97.5% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 52.7% (90% CI: 46.8%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 193 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.8% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 51.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 261 Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.1%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 644 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 54.1% (90% CI: 51.6%-56.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 52.3% (90% CI: 49.9%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.4% (90% CI: 50.9%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.8% (90% CI: 50.1%-57.4%) win rate for white, based on 498 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.5% (90% CI: 50.9%-56.1%) win rate for white (984 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.5%.
In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 51.6%-54.8%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.
In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit has a 53.2% (90% CI: 50.9%-55.4%) win rate for white (1.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.2%.
The Bishop's Opening: McDonnell Gambit, La Bourdonnais-Denker Gambit is statistically favors white with a 53.3% (90% CI: 52.1%-54.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1400-1599 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.