TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation

15K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score51.8%Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.5%Based on 15K games
0%51.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 51.2% – 52.5%
Outcome Distribution
49.6%4.3%46.1%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qe2
Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation
Analyzen=15K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.3%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 51.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.2% and 52.5%), based on 15K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 49% → 63%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200

  • 0-999: 49.0% win rate (3,449 games)
  • 1000-1199: 49.3% win rate (2,715 games)
  • 1200-1399: 50.1% win rate (2,859 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.0% win rate (2,517 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.8% win rate (1,809 games)
  • 1800-1999: 52.0% win rate (1,235 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.6% win rate (750 games)
  • 2200-2499: 63.0% win rate (58 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (55%), worst in Classical (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.5% win rate (472 games)
  • Bullet: 54.7% win rate (2,079 games)
  • Blitz: 49.8% win rate (6,952 games)
  • Rapid: 47.5% win rate (5,266 games)
  • Classical: 47.0% win rate (623 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+—————

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 46.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 57.4% expected score (337 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (1,352 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 50.8% expected score (1,702 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 45.9% expected score (47 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (41 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.0% expected score (357 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 49.8% expected score (1,103 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (1,022 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 57.5% expected score (192 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 57.1% expected score (281 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (462 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (1,435 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (595 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 45.4% expected score (86 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 48.8% expected score (118 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (327 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.4% expected score (1,170 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (779 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 51.2% expected score (123 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.6% expected score (12 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (336 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (640 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.8% expected score (651 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 43.6% expected score (170 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 45.3% expected score (9 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 57.3% expected score (136 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (730 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.7% expected score (358 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 55.8% expected score (93 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (502 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (152 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 63.9% expected score (31 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 66.3% expected score (20 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 61.8% expected score (7 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Continuations (1)
Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation, Lopez Gambit
51.2%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 15K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 63.0% win rate for white (58 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (54.7%) outperforms Classical (47.0%) by 7.7%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation?

The Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a sharpness score of 95.7 (very decisive), meaning 95.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 49.0% (90% CI: 47.6%-50.4%) win rate for white, based on 3.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 49.3% (90% CI: 47.7%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 2.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 48.9%-52.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 52.0% (90% CI: 49.7%-54.4%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 46.6%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 750 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.8% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 48.7%-56.2%) win rate for white (472 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.8%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 54.7% (90% CI: 52.9%-56.5%) win rate for white (2.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.1%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 49.8% (90% CI: 48.8%-50.8%) win rate for white (7.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.3%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 47.5% (90% CI: 46.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (5.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 43.7%-50.3%) win rate for white (623 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.8%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Lopez Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.0%-50.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.