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Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation

72K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score52.8%Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.1%Based on 72K games
0%52.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 52.5% – 53.1%
Outcome Distribution
51.4%2.7%45.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.d3
Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation
Analyzen=72K
Avg Length31 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate2.7%

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 52.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 52.5% and 53.1%), based on 72K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~54%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 54.1% win rate (1,966 games)
  • 1000-1199: 55.2% win rate (4,536 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.8% win rate (8,990 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (14,448 games)
  • 1600-1799: 50.4% win rate (17,789 games)
  • 1800-1999: 49.4% win rate (15,070 games)
  • 2000-2199: 49.7% win rate (6,990 games)
  • 2200-2499: 51.2% win rate (1,862 games)
  • 2500+: 54.9% win rate (158 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (55%), worst in UltraBullet (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 41.0% win rate (51 games)
  • Bullet: 50.1% win rate (22,319 games)
  • Blitz: 51.7% win rate (40,373 games)
  • Rapid: 53.1% win rate (8,806 games)
  • Classical: 54.9% win rate (260 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (626 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 56.3% expected score (952 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (381 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 90.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 53.9% expected score (1,411 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (2,401 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (706 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 53.7% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 41.9% expected score (17 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.6% expected score (2,656 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.1% expected score (4,911 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 56.4% expected score (1,382 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 40.2% expected score (24 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 26.8% expected score (20 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 52.0% expected score (3,764 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (8,447 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (2,142 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (75 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (4 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.9% expected score (4,891 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.8% expected score (10,619 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.9% expected score (2,178 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 58.6% expected score (97 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 49.7% expected score (4,670 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 51.5% expected score (8,870 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 51.5% expected score (1,495 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (2,925 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (3,579 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (472 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 72.6% expected score (14 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (1,235 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (577 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (50 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 58.8% expected score (141 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 52.7% expected score (17 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Bishop's Opening
51.7%
Variations (5)
Bishop's Opening: Anderssen Gambit
54.3%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense
50.0%
Bishop's Opening: Berlin Defense, Greco Gambit
47.8%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit
56.0%
Bishop's Opening: Boden-Kieseritzky Gambit, Lichtenhein Defense
56.3%
Analyze Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 72K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation perform best?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation performs best at 1000-1199 Elo with a 55.2% win rate for white (4.5K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (53.1%) outperforms UltraBullet (41.0%) by 12.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a sharpness score of 97.3 (very decisive), meaning 97.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 31 moves.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 54.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-55.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 55.2% (90% CI: 54.0%-56.4%) win rate for white, based on 4.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 53.8% (90% CI: 52.9%-54.6%) win rate for white, based on 9.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 52.5% (90% CI: 51.8%-53.2%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 50.4% (90% CI: 49.8%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 18K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 49.4% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 49.7% (90% CI: 48.7%-50.7%) win rate for white, based on 7.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 51.2% (90% CI: 49.3%-53.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 48.4%-61.3%) win rate for white, based on 158 Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 6.6% draw rate.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.5%-50.6%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.0%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.3%-52.2%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.0%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.2%-54.0%) win rate for white (8.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.

What is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation has a 54.9% (90% CI: 49.8%-59.9%) win rate for white (260 Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.5%.

Is the Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation a good opening?

The Bishop's Opening: Calabrese Countergambit, Jaenisch Variation is statistically favors white with a 51.4% (90% CI: 51.1%-51.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1000-1199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.