392 games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 48.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 44.1% and 52.4%), based on 392 Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 43% → 58%
Best in Bullet (47%), worst in Rapid (41%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1000-1199 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1200-1399 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1400-1599 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1600-1799 | — | — | — | ||
| 1800-1999 | — | — | — | ||
| 2000-2199 | — | — | |||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 392 rated games from Lichess.
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 45.7% win rate for white (155 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (46.0%) outperforms Bullet (47.0%) by -1.0%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 42.1% (90% CI: 35.7%-48.5%) win rate for white, based on 159 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 39.2%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 155 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 40.2%-53.9%) win rate for white (142 Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.0%.
In Blitz games, the Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 40.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (243 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.5%.
The Benko Gambit: Mutkin Countergambit is slightly favors black with a 46.4% (90% CI: 42.3%-50.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.