TrueEloPlay what wins.
Analyzer

Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack

90K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.3%Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%Based on 90K games
0%50.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 50.0% – 50.5%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%3.6%47.9%
Win
Draw
Loss
3.Qd3
Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack
Analyzen=90K
Avg Length32 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate3.6%

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 50.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 50.0% and 50.5%), based on 90K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 43% → 56%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 42.8% win rate (13,752 games)
  • 1000-1199: 46.9% win rate (13,578 games)
  • 1200-1399: 49.0% win rate (14,173 games)
  • 1400-1599: 48.6% win rate (11,452 games)
  • 1600-1799: 49.5% win rate (9,631 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.5% win rate (13,481 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.1% win rate (10,316 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.7% win rate (3,746 games)
  • 2500+: 56.1% win rate (313 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (52%), worst in Classical (44%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 50.6% win rate (39 games)
  • Bullet: 51.7% win rate (26,323 games)
  • Blitz: 48.3% win rate (40,281 games)
  • Rapid: 45.1% win rate (21,842 games)
  • Classical: 43.9% win rate (1,957 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+———

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 43.2% expected score (1,154 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 46.3% expected score (7,442 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 43.7% expected score (5,106 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 25.8% expected score (48 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 50.0% expected score (1,832 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (5,829 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (5,718 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 40.1% expected score (194 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (12 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (2,362 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (6,540 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 49.0% expected score (4,186 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 48.8% expected score (1,073 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 18.5% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (3,386 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (5,174 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 46.0% expected score (2,429 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 44.7% expected score (455 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 67.7% expected score (7 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.8% expected score (2,307 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.1% expected score (5,356 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 49.4% expected score (1,890 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.5% expected score (71 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.7% expected score (5,207 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (6,181 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 53.1% expected score (1,996 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 48.5% expected score (95 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 53.0% expected score (6,804 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (2,996 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 49.1% expected score (494 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 58.9% expected score (21 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (2 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.6% expected score (2,984 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 57.2% expected score (737 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 39.8% expected score (23 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 59.4% expected score (287 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 60.9% expected score (26 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Amazon Attack
45.0%
Analyze Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate?

The Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 90K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack perform best?

The Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 53.7% win rate for white (3.7K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (51.7%) outperforms Classical (43.9%) by 7.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack?

The Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a sharpness score of 96.4 (very decisive), meaning 96.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 42.8% (90% CI: 42.1%-43.5%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 46.9% (90% CI: 46.2%-47.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 49.0% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 14K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 48.6% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.4%) win rate for white, based on 11K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.1% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 49.5% (90% CI: 48.6%-50.3%) win rate for white, based on 9.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 51.5% (90% CI: 50.8%-52.2%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 50.1% (90% CI: 49.3%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 53.7% (90% CI: 52.4%-55.1%) win rate for white, based on 3.7K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 56.1% (90% CI: 51.5%-60.7%) win rate for white, based on 313 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 6.8% draw rate.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 51.7% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.3%) win rate for white (26K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.5%.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 48.3% (90% CI: 47.9%-48.8%) win rate for white (40K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.8%.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 45.1% (90% CI: 44.6%-45.7%) win rate for white (22K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

What is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack has a 43.9% (90% CI: 42.0%-45.7%) win rate for white (2.0K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.8%.

Is the Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack a good opening?

The Amazon Attack: Siberian Attack is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.