Amar Opening: Paris Gambit
3.9K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
White expected score · All ratings · All speeds
51.0%
the worst score you would still get, 90% confident. At best 52.3%.
Measured over 3.9K games at this level and clock.
Roughly even — the middlegame decides more than this opening choice does.
Outcomes for White
Draw 3.7 · Score = win + ½ of the draws · 3.9K games
- Rank among the families White can choose here
- not ranked — this is a variation, not a family
- Games in this context
- 3.9K
- Best context
- 52.4% at 2200-2499 Blitz
- Average game length
- 32 moves
- Games that end decisively
- 96.3%
- Draws
- 3.7%
Best and worst are the strongest and weakest squares with at least 500 games behind them. The table further down shows every square, including thinner ones.
Extra Analysis
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Where it holds · White score by rating × clock
Green is clearly ahead for White, grey is around even, red is behind. Tap a cell to measure there, and again to clear. It gets better as the rating rises: 38.6% at 0-999, 53.6% at 2500+.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | ||||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | |||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
- 0-999 rating, Bullet: 40.5% expected score (72 games)
- 0-999 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (218 games)
- 0-999 rating, Rapid: 45.7% expected score (68 games)
- 0-999 rating, Classical: 16.7% expected score (3 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.4% expected score (133 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 41.3% expected score (165 games)
- 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 40.1% expected score (49 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 41.7% expected score (65 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 49.3% expected score (217 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 46.4% expected score (54 games)
- 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.1% expected score (50 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 41.6% expected score (153 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 53.8% expected score (65 games)
- 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 58.1% expected score (48 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.0% expected score (301 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 46.2% expected score (38 games)
- 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 62.2% expected score (15 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (42 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.5% expected score (185 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 47.9% expected score (46 games)
- 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 59.1% expected score (287 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 56.0% expected score (438 games)
- 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.7% expected score (63 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.0% expected score (221 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 52.4% expected score (600 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 62.3% expected score (27 games)
- 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
- 2500+ rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (204 games)
- 2500+ rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (8 games)
- 2500+ rating, Rapid: 55.3% expected score (8 games)
Related Openings
Methodology
Across every rating and clock, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 51.0% for White — we are 90% confident the real figure is between 49.7% and 52.3% — from 3.9K Lichess games. Win rate, draw rate and loss rate come from games played December 2023 to November 2025.
How the figures are made
- Whose games these are
- 3.9K+ rated games played on Lichess (2023-12 to 2025-11). The games are Lichess’s and free for anyone to use. What is ours is the reading of them. Last rebuilt January 2026.
- Which games we count
- Rated games only — nothing casual.
- Both players within 200 rating points of each other. A mismatch tells you about the gap, not about the opening.
- At least 2 moves played.
- A game is filed under White’s rating.
- Why every number comes with a range
- A number off a few hundred games is a guess. The same number off millions is a fact. The range is what tells them apart, and it is what the lists rank on — so an opening cannot reach the top on a lucky run of forty games. The more games behind a figure, the narrower its range.
- How much we need before we say anything
- An opening page needs 100 games. A gambit needs 50 games before we will say where it stops working. The chaos and trap lists need 500 games.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate?
The Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 51.0% (range, 90% confident: 49.7% – 52.3%) for White, based on 3.9K rated games from Lichess.
At what rating does the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit perform best?
The Amar Opening: Paris Gambit performs best at 2000-2199, where it scores 57.1% for White (790 games). It tends to score less at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit better in blitz or rapid?
For White, Bullet (53.1%) outperforms Rapid (49.3%). Choose your time control wisely.
How sharp is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit?
The Amar Opening: Paris Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.3 (very decisive), meaning 96.3% of games end decisively. Average game length is 32 moves.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 0-999?
At 0-999, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 47.8% (range, 90% confident: 43.5% – 52.1%) for White, based on 361 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 1000-1199?
At 1000-1199, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 43.4% (range, 90% confident: 39.1% – 47.8%) for White, based on 347 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 1200-1399?
At 1200-1399, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 47.1% (range, 90% confident: 42.7% – 51.6%) for White, based on 338 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 1400-1599?
At 1400-1599, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 45.2% (range, 90% confident: 40.3% – 50.1%) for White, based on 277 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 1600-1799?
At 1600-1799, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 48.9% (range, 90% confident: 44.8% – 53.0%) for White, based on 395 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 1800-1999?
At 1800-1999, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 50.0% (range, 90% confident: 45.2% – 54.8%) for White, based on 291 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 6.0% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 2000-2199?
At 2000-2199, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 57.1% (range, 90% confident: 54.2% – 60.0%) for White, based on 790 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.1% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 2200-2499?
At 2200-2499, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 53.4% (range, 90% confident: 50.6% – 56.2%) for White, based on 849 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate at 2500+?
At 2500+, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 55.2% (range, 90% confident: 49.7% – 60.6%) for White, based on 220 Lichess games. Average game length is 40 moves with a 7.9% draw rate.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate in Bullet?
In Bullet games, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 53.1% (range, 90% confident: 50.7% – 55.6%) for White (1.1K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate in Blitz?
In Blitz games, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 50.4% (range, 90% confident: 48.7% – 52.1%) for White (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.
What is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit win rate in Rapid?
In Rapid games, the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit scores 49.3% (range, 90% confident: 45.3% – 53.3%) for White (418 Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.
Is the Amar Opening: Paris Gambit a good opening?
The Amar Opening: Paris Gambit is about level with a 49.1% (range, 90% confident: 47.8% – 50.4%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.