Ware Defense

2 variations · 1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Key Finding

Ware Defense gives White a 55.3% expected score — a strong opening choice.

With a minimum advantage of 10.5%, this opening reliably outperforms the baseline 50% expected score.

You play
Play This
Rating
Time
White Expected Score0.0%Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.4%Aggregated from 2 variations
0%55.3%100%
Range (90% confident): 55.3% – 55.4%
ContextOverall · n=1.4M
Outcome Distribution
53.4%3.8%42.8%
Win
Draw
Loss
1...a5
Ware Defense
Variations2
Games (Context)1.4M
Avg Length32 moves
Draw Rate3.8%

What Should I Play?

Player-controlled continuations for White · Overall · limited data

No continuation list is available for this context yet (needs more games).

Continuations show the most common variations from this opening. Higher expected scores indicate better statistical outcomes, but familiarity and playstyle matter too.

What is the Ware Defense expected score for White?

Snapshot

Overall, the Ware Defense family has a 55.3% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 55.3% and 55.4%), aggregated from 2 variations and 1.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 57% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 56.9% win rate (192,786 games)
  • 1000-1199: 54.9% win rate (205,656 games)
  • 1200-1399: 53.7% win rate (241,781 games)
  • 1400-1599: 53.1% win rate (254,010 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.5% win rate (218,223 games)
  • 1800-1999: 51.7% win rate (152,128 games)
  • 2000-2199: 50.8% win rate (88,947 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.6% win rate (63,643 games)
  • 2500+: 49.7% win rate (19,894 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (62%), worst in Bullet (52%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.3% win rate (21,954 games)
  • Bullet: 52.4% win rate (522,859 games)
  • Blitz: 53.2% win rate (656,098 games)
  • Rapid: 56.2% win rate (223,843 games)
  • Classical: 62.2% win rate (12,314 games)

Rating vs Time Control Matrix

Click cells to filter · White expected scores

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 54.0% expected score (768 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 58.7% expected score (48,305 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (93,969 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 63.0% expected score (48,725 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 66.2% expected score (1,019 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 58.4% expected score (1,684 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 56.2% expected score (53,706 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (106,252 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 58.9% expected score (42,165 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 66.5% expected score (1,849 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.7% expected score (4,539 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (69,318 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.1% expected score (119,104 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 57.6% expected score (45,827 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 63.9% expected score (2,993 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 54.4% expected score (6,428 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.3% expected score (73,904 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (128,338 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 57.7% expected score (41,045 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 63.5% expected score (4,295 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 61.9% expected score (3,112 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 52.3% expected score (79,398 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.7% expected score (105,684 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 56.8% expected score (28,378 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 66.1% expected score (1,651 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 51.3% expected score (1,681 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (74,979 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (62,040 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 55.4% expected score (12,991 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 64.3% expected score (437 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 49.2% expected score (1,306 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.9% expected score (54,413 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 54.6% expected score (29,252 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 54.6% expected score (3,912 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 65.3% expected score (64 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 45.5% expected score (1,837 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 52.9% expected score (51,196 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 53.2% expected score (9,825 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 49.3% expected score (779 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 63.4% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 60.8% expected score (599 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 52.2% expected score (17,640 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 54.0% expected score (1,634 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 47.8% expected score (21 games)

Matrix view reveals how performance varies across rating brackets and time controls. Green indicates favorable, red indicates challenging contexts.

Variations (2)

Analyze Ware Defense PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Ware Defense win rate?

The Ware Defense family has a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.5%) win rate for white, aggregated from 2 variations and 1.4M rated games from Lichess.

How many Ware Defense variations are there?

This analysis covers 2 Ware Defense variations with sufficient game data. Each variation has its own statistics page with detailed win rates by rating and time control.

At what rating does the Ware Defense perform best?

The Ware Defense family performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 56.9% win rate for white (193K games). Performance may vary by specific variation.

Is the Ware Defense better in blitz or rapid?

Classical (62.2%) outperforms Bullet (52.4%) by 9.8% across all Ware Defense variations.

How sharp is the Ware Defense?

Ware Defense games are 96.2% decisive (non-draws), with an average length of 32 moves. Sharpness varies by specific variation.

Is the Ware Defense a good opening family?

The Ware Defense family is statistically favors white overall with a 53.4% (90% CI: 53.4%-53.5%) aggregated win rate. However, win rates vary significantly between the 2 variations—explore individual lines to find the best fit for your style.