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Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation

411K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score54.5%Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.6%Based on 411K games
0%54.5%100%
Range (90% confident): 54.3% – 54.6%
Outcome Distribution
52.4%4.1%43.5%
Win
Draw
Loss
5...d5
Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation
Analyzen=411K
Avg Length35 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.1%

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 54.5% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 54.3% and 54.6%), based on 411K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 48% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 47.9% win rate (13,202 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.6% win rate (22,586 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.5% win rate (35,916 games)
  • 1400-1599: 51.6% win rate (49,176 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.3% win rate (60,573 games)
  • 1800-1999: 53.0% win rate (79,911 games)
  • 2000-2199: 53.1% win rate (73,857 games)
  • 2200-2499: 53.1% win rate (59,939 games)
  • 2500+: 53.2% win rate (15,388 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Bullet (53%), worst in Classical (49%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 53.0% win rate (846 games)
  • Bullet: 53.3% win rate (172,274 games)
  • Blitz: 51.9% win rate (193,665 games)
  • Rapid: 50.8% win rate (42,357 games)
  • Classical: 48.5% win rate (1,406 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 27.8% expected score (12 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 49.8% expected score (3,512 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (6,395 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 49.9% expected score (3,255 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (28 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 53.3% expected score (75 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 54.1% expected score (8,986 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 51.3% expected score (9,715 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 50.4% expected score (3,707 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 43.8% expected score (103 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 51.4% expected score (398 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 54.4% expected score (14,227 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 52.6% expected score (15,895 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 51.0% expected score (5,203 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (193 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 55.2% expected score (202 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (15,563 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 53.6% expected score (25,282 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 52.3% expected score (7,789 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 49.9% expected score (340 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 56.3% expected score (71 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 54.9% expected score (22,640 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 53.7% expected score (28,869 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 53.2% expected score (8,715 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 49.8% expected score (278 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 58.1% expected score (79 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 55.4% expected score (30,375 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.8% expected score (41,602 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 54.9% expected score (7,586 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 56.3% expected score (269 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 31.9% expected score (4 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 54.8% expected score (28,283 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 55.6% expected score (40,929 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 57.5% expected score (4,486 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 59.0% expected score (155 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 88.5% expected score (5 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 55.5% expected score (35,487 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 56.2% expected score (22,832 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 58.8% expected score (1,581 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 48.6% expected score (34 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 56.3% expected score (13,201 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (2,146 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 44.6% expected score (35 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Vienna Game
51.4%
Variations (5)
Vienna Game: Anderssen Defense
49.8%
Vienna Game: Falkbeer Variation
48.2%
Vienna Game: Frankenstein-Dracula Variation
47.4%
Vienna Game: Fyfe Gambit
45.8%
Vienna Game: Giraffe Attack
54.5%
Continuations (1)
Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation, Pollock Gambit
57.6%
Analyze Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate for white, based on 411K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation perform best?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation performs best at 2000-2199 Elo with a 53.1% win rate for white (74K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (53.3%) outperforms Classical (48.5%) by 4.8%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a sharpness score of 95.9 (very decisive), meaning 95.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 35 moves.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 47.9% (90% CI: 47.1%-48.6%) win rate for white, based on 13K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.0%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 23K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 51.5% (90% CI: 51.0%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 36K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.2%-52.0%) win rate for white, based on 49K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 52.3% (90% CI: 52.0%-52.6%) win rate for white, based on 61K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 52.7%-53.3%) win rate for white, based on 80K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.0% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.4%) win rate for white, based on 74K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 52.8%-53.5%) win rate for white, based on 60K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.2% (90% CI: 52.5%-53.9%) win rate for white, based on 15K Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 6.4% draw rate.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.0% (90% CI: 50.2%-55.9%) win rate for white (846 Lichess games). Draw rate is 0.5%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 53.3% (90% CI: 53.1%-53.4%) win rate for white (172K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 51.9% (90% CI: 51.7%-52.1%) win rate for white (194K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 50.8% (90% CI: 50.4%-51.2%) win rate for white (42K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.9%.

What is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 46.3%-50.7%) win rate for white (1.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 7.4%.

Is the Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation a good opening?

The Vienna Game: Paulsen Variation is statistically favors white with a 52.4% (90% CI: 52.2%-52.5%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2000-2199 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.