What is the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation expected score for White?
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 51.9%), based on 208K Lichess games.
208K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 51.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 51.5% and 51.9%), based on 208K Lichess games.
Declines with rating: 49% → 29%
Best in UltraBullet (58%), worst in Classical (48%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | |||||
| 1000-1199 | |||||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | |||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | |||||
| 2200-2499 | |||||
| 2500+ | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 208K rated games from Lichess.
The Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 50.6% win rate for white (43K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Bullet (51.6%) outperforms Classical (48.2%) by 3.4%. Choose your time control wisely.
The Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a sharpness score of 96.0 (very decisive), meaning 96.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.
At 0-999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.7% (90% CI: 47.9%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 12K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.5%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 50.2%-51.0%) win rate for white, based on 43K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 49.1%-49.9%) win rate for white, based on 50K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 3.8% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 45K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.9% (90% CI: 48.3%-49.5%) win rate for white, based on 20K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.9% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 47.8%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 7.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.0% (90% CI: 46.3%-49.8%) win rate for white, based on 2.1K Lichess games. Average game length is 42 moves with a 8.3% draw rate.
At 2500+ Elo, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 28.8% (90% CI: 25.6%-32.2%) win rate for white, based on 503 Lichess games. Average game length is 47 moves with a 47.7% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 51.6% (90% CI: 51.1%-52.1%) win rate for white (29K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Blitz games, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 49.9% (90% CI: 49.6%-50.1%) win rate for white (105K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.0%.
In Rapid games, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 48.2%-48.9%) win rate for white (68K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.6%.
In Classical games, the Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.1%-49.3%) win rate for white (5.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.
The Vienna Game: Mengarini Variation is statistically balanced with a 49.6% (90% CI: 49.5%-49.8%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.