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Analyzer

Russian Game: Stafford Gambit

1.4M games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Tough Sell
White Expected Score47.8%Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 47.9%Based on 1.4M games
0%47.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 47.8% – 47.9%
Outcome Distribution
46.2%3.1%50.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
No position data
Russian Game: Stafford Gambit
n=1.4M
Avg Length29 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.1%

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 47.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 47.8% and 47.9%), based on 1.4M Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Improves with rating: 46% → 50%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 46.0% win rate (57,103 games)
  • 1000-1199: 45.0% win rate (135,302 games)
  • 1200-1399: 45.0% win rate (254,090 games)
  • 1400-1599: 45.7% win rate (341,653 games)
  • 1600-1799: 46.7% win rate (318,883 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.6% win rate (214,238 games)
  • 2000-2199: 48.1% win rate (91,392 games)
  • 2200-2499: 48.2% win rate (28,270 games)
  • 2500+: 50.3% win rate (2,570 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Similar across time controls (~47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 44.9% win rate (1,586 games)
  • Bullet: 47.0% win rate (402,293 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (764,791 games)
  • Rapid: 45.5% win rate (266,292 games)
  • Classical: 46.3% win rate (8,539 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, UltraBullet: 38.0% expected score (174 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 46.0% expected score (24,785 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (23,391 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 51.2% expected score (8,689 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Classical: 53.9% expected score (64 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 40.6% expected score (322 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.1% expected score (48,809 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 45.4% expected score (68,292 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 47.2% expected score (17,636 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 54.1% expected score (243 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 46.2% expected score (401 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 47.8% expected score (73,566 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 45.9% expected score (139,610 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 45.2% expected score (39,727 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 46.3% expected score (786 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 50.0% expected score (330 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 48.4% expected score (82,937 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.3% expected score (185,603 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 45.3% expected score (70,265 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 46.9% expected score (2,518 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 46.1% expected score (215 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (72,544 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 48.4% expected score (173,380 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 47.3% expected score (69,722 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 47.7% expected score (3,022 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 48.9% expected score (87 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 48.9% expected score (52,648 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 49.6% expected score (117,186 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 49.7% expected score (42,777 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 49.5% expected score (1,540 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 70.3% expected score (38 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 47.9% expected score (29,809 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 50.9% expected score (46,277 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 52.5% expected score (14,917 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 61.7% expected score (351 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 59.8% expected score (19 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 49.2% expected score (15,117 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 51.6% expected score (10,586 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 56.1% expected score (2,533 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 77.3% expected score (15 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (2,078 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 58.4% expected score (466 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 64.6% expected score (26 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Russian Game
48.9%
Variations (5)
Russian Game: Classical Attack
50.6%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Berger Variation
45.9%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation
44.5%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Browne Attack
47.4%
Russian Game: Classical Attack, Chigorin Variation, Main Line
44.6%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate?

The Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 46.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.4M rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit perform best?

The Russian Game: Stafford Gambit performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 50.3% win rate for white (2.6K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (47.0%) outperforms UltraBullet (44.9%) by 2.1%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit?

The Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a sharpness score of 96.9 (very decisive), meaning 96.9% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 46.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-46.3%) win rate for white, based on 57K Lichess games. Average game length is 23 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.8%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 135K Lichess games. Average game length is 25 moves with a 2.5% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 45.0% (90% CI: 44.9%-45.2%) win rate for white, based on 254K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 45.7% (90% CI: 45.6%-45.9%) win rate for white, based on 342K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.9% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 46.5%-46.8%) win rate for white, based on 319K Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 47.6% (90% CI: 47.4%-47.7%) win rate for white, based on 214K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 48.1% (90% CI: 47.8%-48.4%) win rate for white, based on 91K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.7%-48.7%) win rate for white, based on 28K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 5.0% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 50.3% (90% CI: 48.6%-51.9%) win rate for white, based on 2.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 5.6% draw rate.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate in UltraBullet?

In UltraBullet games, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 44.9% (90% CI: 42.9%-47.0%) win rate for white (1.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 46.8%-47.1%) win rate for white (402K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 46.0%-46.2%) win rate for white (765K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 45.5% (90% CI: 45.3%-45.7%) win rate for white (266K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.7%.

What is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit win rate in Classical?

In Classical games, the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit has a 46.3% (90% CI: 45.4%-47.2%) win rate for white (8.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.4%.

Is the Russian Game: Stafford Gambit a good opening?

The Russian Game: Stafford Gambit is slightly favors black with a 46.2% (90% CI: 46.2%-46.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.