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Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit

6.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score49.8%Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.8%Based on 6.3K games
0%49.8%100%
Range (90% confident): 48.7% – 50.8%
Outcome Distribution
48.2%3.0%48.7%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.e4
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit
Analyzen=6.3K
Avg Length33 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.0%

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 49.8% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 48.7% and 50.8%), based on 6.3K Lichess games.

Extra Analysis

Deep-dive datasets for this opening

Gambit BreakpointWhite

Peak: +11.2% · Breakpoint: 1000-1199

Time-Control Swing

Max swing: 9.6% · Bullet best · Rapid worst

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 61% → 54%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.7% win rate (113 games)
  • 1000-1199: 51.5% win rate (341 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.6% win rate (709 games)
  • 1400-1599: 49.8% win rate (1,215 games)
  • 1600-1799: 45.6% win rate (1,472 games)
  • 1800-1999: 46.7% win rate (1,347 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.0% win rate (712 games)
  • 2200-2499: 46.6% win rate (354 games)
  • 2500+: 54.0% win rate (68 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (68%), worst in Rapid (41%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 54.4% win rate (27 games)
  • Bullet: 50.6% win rate (3,302 games)
  • Blitz: 46.1% win rate (2,631 games)
  • Rapid: 41.0% win rate (363 games)
  • Classical: 68.4% win rate (8 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199
1200-1399
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999—
2000-2199
2200-2499
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 65.6% expected score (53 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 55.2% expected score (47 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 77.6% expected score (13 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 55.7% expected score (166 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 53.3% expected score (136 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.4% expected score (37 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 21.5% expected score (2 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (368 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 56.9% expected score (280 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 44.2% expected score (58 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 71.1% expected score (8 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 53.8% expected score (603 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 47.8% expected score (530 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 44.0% expected score (73 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (707 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 43.7% expected score (667 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 41.8% expected score (90 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 61.2% expected score (3 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 36.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 51.0% expected score (638 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.6% expected score (639 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 41.6% expected score (64 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 83.4% expected score (3 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (448 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (238 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 41.5% expected score (22 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 50.2% expected score (266 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 43.9% expected score (80 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 61.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 37.1% expected score (14 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit
48.0%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation
48.5%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation
50.0%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.3%) win rate for white, based on 6.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit performs best at 0-999 Elo with a 60.7% win rate for white (113 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (50.6%) outperforms Rapid (41.0%) by 9.6%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a sharpness score of 97.0 (very decisive), meaning 97.0% of games end decisively. Average game length is 33 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 0-999 Elo?

At 0-999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 60.7% (90% CI: 53.1%-68.1%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 27 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 51.5% (90% CI: 47.1%-56.0%) win rate for white, based on 341 Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 51.6% (90% CI: 48.5%-54.7%) win rate for white, based on 709 Lichess games. Average game length is 30 moves with a 2.2% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 49.8% (90% CI: 47.4%-52.1%) win rate for white, based on 1.2K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 1.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 45.6% (90% CI: 43.5%-47.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 46.7% (90% CI: 44.5%-48.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 4.3% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 47.0% (90% CI: 44.0%-50.1%) win rate for white, based on 712 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 46.6% (90% CI: 42.2%-50.9%) win rate for white, based on 354 Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 4.9% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 50.6% (90% CI: 49.2%-52.1%) win rate for white (3.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.4%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 46.1% (90% CI: 44.5%-47.7%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.6%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit has a 41.0% (90% CI: 36.8%-45.3%) win rate for white (363 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.1%.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Grinberg Gambit is statistically balanced with a 48.2% (90% CI: 47.2%-49.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 0-999 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.