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Analyzer

Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation

5.3K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

Playable
White Expected Score50.2%Range (90% confident): 49.0% – 51.3%Based on 5.3K games
0%50.2%100%
Range (90% confident): 49.0% – 51.3%
Outcome Distribution
48.5%3.2%48.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
5.Bd3
Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation
Analyzen=5.3K
Avg Length36 moves
Sharpness97%
Draw Rate3.2%

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 50.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 49.0% and 51.3%), based on 5.3K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Declines with rating: 59% → 53%

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 59.4% win rate (33 games)
  • 1000-1199: 50.7% win rate (106 games)
  • 1200-1399: 51.0% win rate (231 games)
  • 1400-1599: 47.6% win rate (403 games)
  • 1600-1799: 48.8% win rate (860 games)
  • 1800-1999: 47.4% win rate (1,349 games)
  • 2000-2199: 47.4% win rate (1,421 games)
  • 2200-2499: 50.0% win rate (784 games)
  • 2500+: 53.1% win rate (154 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Classical (68%), worst in Blitz (47%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 60.0% win rate (6 games)
  • Bullet: 49.5% win rate (2,166 games)
  • Blitz: 47.0% win rate (2,614 games)
  • Rapid: 50.6% win rate (525 games)
  • Classical: 68.3% win rate (30 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199——
1200-1399—
1400-1599
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199—
2200-2499——
2500+——

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 63.6% expected score (17 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 60.4% expected score (13 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Bullet: 47.5% expected score (38 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 50.0% expected score (53 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 68.2% expected score (15 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 45.5% expected score (87 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 55.7% expected score (104 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 59.9% expected score (39 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, UltraBullet: 78.6% expected score (2 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 49.4% expected score (148 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 44.7% expected score (196 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 61.3% expected score (52 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (5 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 44.8% expected score (296 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 51.4% expected score (446 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 52.4% expected score (102 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 83.3% expected score (15 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 35.7% expected score (2 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 50.3% expected score (485 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 47.7% expected score (701 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 52.6% expected score (152 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 59.6% expected score (9 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 50.5% expected score (546 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 48.8% expected score (755 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 46.7% expected score (119 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 53.7% expected score (417 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 48.9% expected score (325 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 53.5% expected score (42 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 57.5% expected score (132 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 43.3% expected score (21 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)

Related Openings

Parent
Old Indian Defense
49.1%
Variations (5)
Old Indian Defense: Aged Gibbon Gambit
48.0%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nc3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Czech Variation, with Nf3
48.7%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation
50.0%
Old Indian Defense: Janowski Variation, Fianchetto Variation
51.0%
Analyze Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate?

The Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 5.3K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation perform best?

The Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 50.0% win rate for white (784 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation better in blitz or rapid?

Bullet (49.5%) outperforms Blitz (47.0%) by 2.5%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation?

The Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a sharpness score of 96.8 (very decisive), meaning 96.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 36 moves.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 1000-1199 Elo?

At 1000-1199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 50.7% (90% CI: 42.8%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 106 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 1200-1399 Elo?

At 1200-1399 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 51.0% (90% CI: 45.6%-56.3%) win rate for white, based on 231 Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 47.6% (90% CI: 43.5%-51.7%) win rate for white, based on 403 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 48.8% (90% CI: 46.0%-51.6%) win rate for white, based on 860 Lichess games. Average game length is 34 moves with a 2.1% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-49.7%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 36 moves with a 3.6% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 47.4% (90% CI: 45.2%-49.6%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 38 moves with a 3.7% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 50.0% (90% CI: 47.0%-52.9%) win rate for white, based on 784 Lichess games. Average game length is 39 moves with a 3.5% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 53.1% (90% CI: 46.5%-59.6%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 41 moves with a 5.5% draw rate.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 49.5% (90% CI: 47.8%-51.3%) win rate for white (2.2K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.9%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 47.0% (90% CI: 45.4%-48.6%) win rate for white (2.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.9%.

What is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation has a 50.6% (90% CI: 47.0%-54.2%) win rate for white (525 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.2%.

Is the Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation a good opening?

The Old Indian Defense: Duz-Khotimirsky Variation is statistically balanced with a 48.5% (90% CI: 47.4%-49.7%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.