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Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack

6.6K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026

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White Expected Score58.7%Range (90% confident): 57.7% – 59.7%Based on 6.6K games
0%58.7%100%
Range (90% confident): 57.7% – 59.7%
Outcome Distribution
56.6%4.2%39.2%
Win
Draw
Loss
4.g4
Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack
Analyzen=6.6K
Avg Length34 moves
Sharpness96%
Draw Rate4.2%

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack expected score for White?

Snapshot

At all ratings, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 58.7% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 57.7% and 59.7%), based on 6.6K Lichess games.

White Win% by Rating

Stable across ratings (~60%)

0
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
2200
2500+

  • 0-999: 60.0% win rate (11 games)
  • 1000-1199: 47.4% win rate (8 games)
  • 1200-1399: 47.8% win rate (33 games)
  • 1400-1599: 52.5% win rate (110 games)
  • 1600-1799: 52.0% win rate (184 games)
  • 1800-1999: 54.2% win rate (594 games)
  • 2000-2199: 54.9% win rate (1,521 games)
  • 2200-2499: 57.0% win rate (2,757 games)
  • 2500+: 59.6% win rate (1,383 games)

White Win% by Time Control

Best in Rapid (60%), worst in UltraBullet (53%)

UltraBullet
Bullet
Blitz
Rapid
Classical

  • UltraBullet: 52.9% win rate (7 games)
  • Bullet: 56.8% win rate (2,467 games)
  • Blitz: 56.1% win rate (3,769 games)
  • Rapid: 60.1% win rate (329 games)
  • Classical: 54.1% win rate (29 games)

White% by Rating × Time Control

Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.

RatingUBBulleBlitzRapidClass
0-999——
1000-1199———
1200-1399—
1400-1599—
1600-1799
1800-1999
2000-2199
2200-2499—
2500+—

Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control

  • 0-999 rating, Bullet: 42.4% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Blitz: 73.1% expected score (5 games)
  • 0-999 rating, Rapid: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Blitz: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1000-1199 rating, Rapid: 38.9% expected score (3 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Bullet: 26.2% expected score (9 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Blitz: 61.5% expected score (16 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Rapid: 55.9% expected score (7 games)
  • 1200-1399 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Bullet: 45.6% expected score (32 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Blitz: 58.0% expected score (55 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Rapid: 69.2% expected score (22 games)
  • 1400-1599 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, UltraBullet: 70.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Bullet: 50.8% expected score (64 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Blitz: 54.9% expected score (92 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Rapid: 61.2% expected score (21 games)
  • 1600-1799 rating, Classical: 50.0% expected score (6 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, UltraBullet: 57.7% expected score (5 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Bullet: 54.3% expected score (162 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Blitz: 54.3% expected score (365 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Rapid: 71.2% expected score (55 games)
  • 1800-1999 rating, Classical: 44.2% expected score (7 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, UltraBullet: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Bullet: 51.7% expected score (321 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Blitz: 57.6% expected score (1,077 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Rapid: 56.3% expected score (111 games)
  • 2000-2199 rating, Classical: 74.0% expected score (11 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Bullet: 59.3% expected score (921 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Blitz: 58.9% expected score (1,732 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Rapid: 64.8% expected score (103 games)
  • 2200-2499 rating, Classical: 30.0% expected score (1 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Bullet: 62.0% expected score (953 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Blitz: 62.8% expected score (422 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Rapid: 56.7% expected score (6 games)
  • 2500+ rating, Classical: 78.6% expected score (2 games)

Related Openings

Variations (4)
Lion Defense: Anti-Philidor
55.3%
Lion Defense: Anti-Philidor, Lion's Cave
49.0%
Lion Defense: Anti-Philidor, Lion's Cave, Lion Claw Gambit
39.8%
Lion Defense: Lion's Jaw
48.0%
Analyze Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack PositionsGet move-by-move win rates with the TrueElo analyzer

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate?

The Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.6%) win rate for white, based on 6.6K rated games from Lichess.

At what rating does the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack perform best?

The Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack performs best at 2500+ Elo with a 59.6% win rate for white (1.4K games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.

Is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack better in blitz or rapid?

Rapid (60.1%) outperforms Blitz (56.1%) by 4.0%. Choose your time control wisely.

How sharp is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack?

The Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a sharpness score of 95.8 (very decisive), meaning 95.8% of games end decisively. Average game length is 34 moves.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1400-1599 Elo?

At 1400-1599 Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 52.5% (90% CI: 44.7%-60.2%) win rate for white, based on 110 Lichess games. Average game length is 29 moves with a 7.6% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1600-1799 Elo?

At 1600-1799 Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 52.0% (90% CI: 46.0%-58.0%) win rate for white, based on 184 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.6% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 1800-1999 Elo?

At 1800-1999 Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 54.2% (90% CI: 50.8%-57.5%) win rate for white, based on 594 Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.3% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2000-2199 Elo?

At 2000-2199 Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 54.9% (90% CI: 52.8%-57.0%) win rate for white, based on 1.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 3.0% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2200-2499 Elo?

At 2200-2499 Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 57.0% (90% CI: 55.5%-58.6%) win rate for white, based on 2.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 35 moves with a 4.5% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate at 2500+ Elo?

At 2500+ Elo, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 59.6% (90% CI: 57.4%-61.8%) win rate for white, based on 1.4K Lichess games. Average game length is 37 moves with a 5.3% draw rate.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Bullet?

In Bullet games, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 56.8% (90% CI: 55.2%-58.5%) win rate for white (2.5K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.3%.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Blitz?

In Blitz games, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 56.1% (90% CI: 54.8%-57.4%) win rate for white (3.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 4.7%.

What is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack win rate in Rapid?

In Rapid games, the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack has a 60.1% (90% CI: 55.6%-64.5%) win rate for white (329 Lichess games). Draw rate is 5.6%.

Is the Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack a good opening?

The Lion Defense: Bayonet Attack is statistically favors white with a 56.6% (90% CI: 55.6%-57.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2500+ Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.