12K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 39.9% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 39.2% and 40.7%), based on 12K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Declines with rating: 47% → 27%
Best in Blitz (39%), worst in UltraBullet (11%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | |||||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | |||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | — | |||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 38.6% (90% CI: 37.9%-39.3%) win rate for white, based on 12K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense performs best at 1200-1399 Elo with a 42.1% win rate for white (510 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (39.0%) outperforms Classical (36.1%) by 2.9%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a sharpness score of 97.4 (very decisive), meaning 97.4% of games end decisively. Average game length is 29 moves.
At 1000-1199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 36.2% (90% CI: 29.0%-43.7%) win rate for white, based on 113 Lichess games. Average game length is 21 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 42.1% (90% CI: 38.6%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 510 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.3% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 36.0% (90% CI: 34.2%-37.9%) win rate for white, based on 1.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 2.3% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 37.5% (90% CI: 36.2%-38.8%) win rate for white, based on 3.8K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.7% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 39.8% (90% CI: 38.5%-41.1%) win rate for white, based on 4.0K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.8% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 40.1% (90% CI: 37.8%-42.3%) win rate for white, based on 1.3K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 3.2% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 43.4% (90% CI: 36.9%-50.0%) win rate for white, based on 154 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 4.8% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 37.7% (90% CI: 36.1%-39.4%) win rate for white (2.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.2%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 39.0% (90% CI: 38.1%-40.0%) win rate for white (7.6K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense has a 38.0% (90% CI: 36.1%-39.9%) win rate for white (1.8K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.8%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Silberschmidt Defense is slightly favors black with a 38.6% (90% CI: 37.9%-39.3%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 1200-1399 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.