24K games from Lichess · Updated January 2026
At all ratings, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 41.2% expected score for White (we're 90% confident it's between 40.7% and 41.7%), based on 24K Lichess games.
Deep-dive datasets for this opening
Improves with rating: 53% → 57%
Best in Blitz (41%), worst in Classical (35%)
Click any cell to filter. Green = above 50%, Red = below 50%.
| Rating | UB | Bulle | Blitz | Rapid | Class |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-999 | — | — | — | ||
| 1000-1199 | — | — | |||
| 1200-1399 | — | — | |||
| 1400-1599 | — | ||||
| 1600-1799 | — | ||||
| 1800-1999 | — | ||||
| 2000-2199 | — | ||||
| 2200-2499 | — | ||||
| 2500+ | — | — | — |
Expected score matrix by rating bracket and time control
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.5%-40.6%) win rate for white, based on 24K rated games from Lichess.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack performs best at 2200-2499 Elo with a 47.9% win rate for white (680 games). Win rate tends to decline at higher ratings as opponents know the theory better.
Blitz (40.5%) outperforms Classical (35.0%) by 5.5%. Choose your time control wisely.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a sharpness score of 97.7 (very decisive), meaning 97.7% of games end decisively. Average game length is 30 moves.
At 1200-1399 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 35.0% (90% CI: 31.0%-39.0%) win rate for white, based on 380 Lichess games. Average game length is 24 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.
At 1400-1599 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 39.6% (90% CI: 37.8%-41.5%) win rate for white, based on 1.9K Lichess games. Average game length is 26 moves with a 1.4% draw rate.
At 1600-1799 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 38.4% (90% CI: 37.4%-39.4%) win rate for white, based on 6.5K Lichess games. Average game length is 28 moves with a 2.0% draw rate.
At 1800-1999 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 38.8% (90% CI: 38.0%-39.6%) win rate for white, based on 10K Lichess games. Average game length is 31 moves with a 2.4% draw rate.
At 2000-2199 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 44.5% (90% CI: 43.2%-45.7%) win rate for white, based on 4.6K Lichess games. Average game length is 32 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
At 2200-2499 Elo, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 47.9% (90% CI: 44.8%-51.1%) win rate for white, based on 680 Lichess games. Average game length is 33 moves with a 2.6% draw rate.
In Bullet games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 39.9% (90% CI: 38.7%-41.2%) win rate for white (4.3K Lichess games). Draw rate is 1.3%.
In Blitz games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 40.5% (90% CI: 39.9%-41.1%) win rate for white (16K Lichess games). Draw rate is 2.3%.
In Rapid games, the King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack has a 38.2% (90% CI: 36.8%-39.5%) win rate for white (3.4K Lichess games). Draw rate is 3.1%.
The King's Gambit Accepted: Salvio Gambit, Anderssen Counterattack is slightly favors black with a 40.1% (90% CI: 39.5%-40.6%) win rate across all ratings. It performs best at 2200-2499 Elo. Your results depend on your rating, time control, and how well you know the typical plans.